The referendum is just the beginning of the war

Whatever the result of the referendum, that will not be the end of matters. There is a gaping hole in the referendum debate. There has been no commitment by any politician to what exactly they would be asking for from the EU if the vote is to leave and what they would definitely not accept.  Should that happen we must do our best ensure that those undertaking the negotiations on Britain’s behalf do not surreptitiously attempt to subvert the vote by stitching Britain back into the EU by negotiating a treaty which obligates Britain to such things as free movement of people between Britain and the EU and a hefty payment each year to the EU (a modern form of Danegeld).  A vote to leave must give Britain back her sovereignty utterly and that means Westminster being able to pass any laws it wants.  These will supersede any existing obligations to foreign states and institutions, having absolute control of Britain’s borders, being able to protect strategic British industries and giving preference to British companies where public contracts are offered to private business.

If there is a vote to remain that does not mean the question of Britain leaving is closed for a generation any more than the vote of Scottish independence sealed the matter for twenty years or more.  For another referendum to be ruled out for several decades would be both dangerous and profoundly undemocratic.

Imagine that Britain, having voted to remain the EU, decides to push through legislation to bring about the United States of Europe, which many of the most senior Eurocrats and pro-EU politicians have made no bones about wanting.  The EU wants Turkey to be given membership, immigration from and via the EU continues to run out of hand or the EU adopts regulations for financial services which gravely  damage the City of London.  Are we to honestly say that no future referendum cannot be held?

Of course on some issues such as the admission of new members Britain still has a veto but can we be certain that it would used to stop Turkey joining?  David Cameron has made it all too clear that he supports Turkey’s accession and the ongoing immigrant crisis in the Middle East has already wrung the considerable concession of visa-free travel in the Schengen Area from the EU without the Cameron government offering any complaint. Instead all that Cameron does is bleat that Britain still has border controls which allow Britain to refuse entry to and deport those from outside the EU and the European Economic Area.  However, this is the same government which has been reducing Britain’s border force and has deported by force very few people.

You may think that if new members are admitted to the EU a referendum would automatically be held under the European Union Act of 2011. Not so, viz:.

4 Cases where treaty or Article 48(6) decision attracts a referendum

(4)A treaty or Article 48(6) decision does not fall within this section merely because it involves one or more of the following—

(a)the codification of practice under TEU or TFEU in relation to the previous exercise of an existing competence;

(b)the making of any provision that applies only to member States other than the United Kingdom;

(c)in the case of a treaty, the accession of a new member State.

In practice it would be up to the government of the day to decide whether a referendum should be held. The circumstances where the Act requires a referendum are to do with changes to the powers and duties of EU members. The simple accession of a new member does not fall under those heads.   Nor does the Act provide for a referendum where there is no change to existing EU treaties or massive changes are made  without a Treaty being involved, for example,  Britain has had no referendum on Turkey  being given visa free movement within  the Schengen Area.

Make sure you vote

Regardless of what the Polls say make sure you vote. The bigger the victory for the OUT side the less the Europhiles will be able to do to subvert what happens after the vote.  If the vote is to stay the closer it is the less traction it gives the Europhiles .  Either way, the vote on the 23 June is merely the first battle in a war, not the end of the war.

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