Last week a systematic and stiletto-blade scientific dismantling of the case for anthropogenic global warming (AGW) unfolded in the Gladstone room in the heart of Westminster, given by Prof. Murry Salby. He presented a strong case for temperature conclusively driving atmospheric CO2 levels and not the other way around, which forms the basis for the UN IPCC and its crusade against CO2 emissions. The most interesting part was the demonstration that recent and short term CO2 levels do not directly follow temperature swings, but are induced by and dependent upon the time integration of the temperature changes.
If this is true, and the resultant integration plot he produced does almost exactly follow the atmospheric CO2 level increase, then the assertion that CO2 levels affect global temperature cannot possibly be correct. Further, all those computer models programmed to show CO2 and temperature correlation are simply wrong.
This completely undermines any basis whatsoever for political campaigns for CO2 reduction or ‘decarbonisation’. The UN IPCC and its assessment reports are similarly rendered pointless. The subsidies for renewables are not needed. Carbon trading, green taxes, carbon energy price floors, the Climate Change Act 2008, carbon capture research, UEA and the global warming institutes, the premature closing of coal fired powered stations, manufactured hairshirt angst, and restrictions on shale gas exploration, are all history.
Despite this and the levelling off of global temperatures over the past seventeen years, our government is still firmly committed to the proposition that we need to spend £18billion a year on decarbonisation. Also, they have not given up on taking part in the annual UNFCCC Conference of Parties (CoP) event, now at its 19th manifestation, this time in Warsaw. So committed are they, that they will fly no less than 45 delegates to Warsaw, despite an acknowledgement that there is unlikely to be any deal coming out of the deliberations.
This year Australia turfed out a government which had lumbered them with some of the most damaging green taxation and levies. It was replaced by a government led by Tony Abbott who has firmly put reality and practicality ahead of the former policies, that could have cost Australia $150billion a year by 2050 through the purchase of UN mandated overseas carbon permits.
In an official statement the Australian government said very clearly:
“Australia will not support any measures which are socialism masquerading as environmentalism”.
In complete contrast to the UK, the Australian presence at Warsaw will accordingly be minimal.
We know that there has been some softening of the line in the UK with Cameron recently hinting at some reduction on green levies, although this has as much to do with Miliband’s proposed price freeze, as Cameron seeing the possibility of losing the next election over energy policy.
On the issue of energy costs, Cameron has only himself to blame: he allowed Miliband to paint himself as the bill payers’ saviour by being the first to shift the issue onto who can best shave a few pounds off the energy companies’ charges. The real culprit is the Climate Change Act which set in train a 50% rise in electricity bills by 2020, and also put an effective prohibition on shale gas which could have halved gas prices as it has done in the USA. Ed Miliband, who was the Secretary of State for energy at the time of the Act, will therefore be responsible for turning a £1000 electricity bill into a bill for £1500 by 2020, and for giving us a gas bill of £1000 instead of just £500.
Cameron has been inhibited from attacking Miliband because the Conservatives and the LibDems wholeheartedly supported the Act, and because he wanted to be the ‘greenest government ever’. In doing this, despite Miliband being an easy target, he has both backed himself into a corner and lost the political initiative. No such reticence exists in UKIP which has a refreshingly firm stance on climate change and which puts the needs of the consumers first.
It is ironic that the conference is being held in Poland, which produces 90% of its electricity from coal, and which has a government unwilling to shift from that policy in full opposition to most of the UN delegates. It also openly opposes a European Union plan for stricter limits on carbon dioxide emissions by 2030. Earlier this week 50,000 Poles in Warsaw took the opportunity on their National Independence Day to hear a speech, also televised live, against the UN hype over climate. Perhaps this is because of their long experience of socialism administered by a supranational body, that they too have seen through ‘socialism masquerading as environmentalism‘.