We know how well UKIP are doing in UK for the European elections – most polls now agree we will draw 30% or more of the vote, taking first place. But, where do the other nations of Europe stand on Euroscepticism? This web page provides poll figures from most European countries, although there are some notable exceptions like Belgium and Ireland.
Here’s a quick gallop through the opinion poll predictions from that site for the main Eurosceptic parties, and our possible future partners in the European Parliament.
Freedom Party – 19%
This country is strongly Eurosceptic, 34.5% of the electorate backing such parties:
Danish People’s Party – 26% – the largest single party in the poll, who are amongst our present partners in the EFD.
People’s Movement against EU – 8.5%
Finns Party – 17.8% – One of their MEPs spoke at our conference, and we clearly have kindred souls there, and they are also in the EFD.
National Front – 23.5% – largest party by a whisker and led by Marine Le Pen.
AFD – 6% – They are only interested in Euro exit, not EU exit.
Another (not surprisingly) strongly Eurosceptic country, 42.1% of electors backing such parties.
SYRIZA – 26.2% – this party is 2nd by a whisker
Communists – 7.4%
Golden Dawn – 8.5%
Five Star Movement – 24.6% – Beppo Grillo’s (the comedian) movement. Rather controversially, he is not standing himself.
Lega Nord – 4.9% – Present partners of UKIP in the EFD
Party for Freedom 18.1% – Led by Geert Wilders.
Christian Union 8.3%
From the polls, it would appear that Poland, Sweden, Spain (except in Catalonia), Bulgaria, Czech Replublic, Portugal and Romania do not have any significant Eurosceptic parties.
However, Euroscepticism seems to alive and kicking across the EU, as evidenced by this Europe-wide attitudes survey, which shows indicators of Euroscepticism higher than that represented by voting intentions. Thanks to UK General Election 2015 for unearthing it.
Most of other EFD partners currently have only 1 MEP, and may not get them re-elected, although the United Poland party have 4 MEPs, but they are not doing so well in the polls this time, languishing on 4%. So, there are fears that the EFD group may not be viable after the election.
The Eurosceptic parties doing best of all (other than our own UKIP) seem to be those where we would hold our noses at some of their policies which tend towards racism: the National Front in France, Party for Freedom in Netherlands, Freedom Party in Austria and SYRIZA in Greece. Whether UKIP is prepared to enter into a group with any of them remains to be seen, but Nigel Farage has said he would not join with the French or Netherlands parties owing to their racist nature. All I can say is to wait till the fat lady sings and then the situation can be assessed.