Project hysteria

Express
BREXITEER David Davis has warned “apocalyptic” analysis pumped out by the Government about Britain’s future outside the EU is part of a propaganda war being waged by No 10. The former Brexit Secretary claimed a campaign of “lies and scare tactics” is being prepared by Downing Street to push MPs into supporting Theresa May’s exit deal. He called on Conservatives to “stand firm in the face of the propaganda onslaught” that is being unleashed as part of “project fear 2.0″. All Brexit options are worse than staying in the bloc but leaving without a deal could deliver a 9.3% hit to the economy over the next 15 years, according to official analysis released yesterday.

Telegraph
Mark Carney has been accused of undermining the Bank of England’s “independence and credibility” after publishing an analysis of the economic impacts of no deal so bleak it has been dubbed “project hysteria”. The Governor of the Bank of England claimed that the UK could endure the worst economic shock since the Second World War if it crashes out of the EU without a deal.  His “doomsday” analysis warned that in such a scenario, the economy will shrink by 8 per cent and be tipped into a recession, property prices will fall by a third, the pound will plummet and interest rates will soar.

Mail
The Bank of England has warned the pound would crash, inflation will soar and interest rates would have to rise in the event of a no deal disorderly Brexit. Bank Governor Mark Carney said the impact of Brexit would depend entirely on whether there was a deal but said he had a duty to spell out what might happen.  Mr Carney said the Bank’s job was not to ‘hope for the best but prepare for the worst’ – but his blood-curdling claims will enrage Brexiteers. The figures are contained in a ‘worst case scenario’ published by the Bank which suggests in a last-minute no deal, no transition Brexit Britain’s GDP could plunge rapidly by 8 per cent – much worse than the 2008 financial crisis.

Guardian
Theresa May’s campaign to sell her Brexit deal to sceptical MPs and a divided country ran into further difficulties when a string of official economic forecasts concluded that the UK would be better off remaining in the European Union. The Bank of England said on Wednesday that GDP would have been at least 1% higher in five years’ time if the UK had voted to remain, while an official Whitehall analysis concluded that in all Brexit scenarios, including May’s final deal, the UK would be worse off.

Brexit

Westmonster
A sensational new poll has revealed that the British people back a No Deal Brexit by the exact margin of the referendum: 52%. Deltapoll have found that when you asked the public about a No Deal, World Trade Brexit vs. Remain, the result is 52-48. The May Deal also wins by 56% vs. 44%, though MPs are set to vote this down. As University of Oxford Professor Steve Fisher explains of a No Deal Brexit: “Would beat Remain 52:48 in a two-way competition according to the preference orderings above. This is because Deal supporters prefer No Deal to Remain by a large margin.” 

Mail
MPs will vote on Theresa May‘s Brexit deal after a marathon five-day debate in Parliament. The House of Commons will debate the deal secured by the Prime Minister before the all-important vote on December 11. MPs will be able to put down six amendments to the Government’s key ‘meaningful vote’ Brexit motion under plans unveiled for the crunch Commons showdown. The debates themselves will last for eight hours a day, a total of forty hours, and are sure to be lively as the Prime Minister battles to secure a majority to back her plans. 

Legal advice

Mail
Ministers were today warned they could be held in ‘contempt of Parliament’ after refusing to publish the full legal advice on Theresa May‘s Brexit deal. The views of Attorney General Geoffrey Cox on whether the UK will be locked into the so-called Irish border ‘backstop’ are thought to have been crucial in the package being passed by Cabinet. Earlier this month the Commons endorsed a ‘Humble Address’ tabled by Labour demanding the opinion be released.

Telegraph
John Bercow has warned ministers they could be held in contempt of Parliament and face expulsion if they fail to comply with a demand by MPs to publish the Government’s full Brexit legal advice. Theresa May intends to ignore a binding vote of the House of Commons which demanded that the Government provide its full legal advice to MPs before the meaningful vote on her deal. Mrs May said MPs would instead be provided with a summary of the legal position on the Brexit agreement as she placed the Government on a collision course with Parliament.

Morning Star
JEREMY CORBYN exposed Theresa May’s hypocrisy in her withholding of Brexit legal advice yesterday by surprising her with a letter she had sent to the last Labour government that demanded they publish the legal advice they had received over the Iraq War. During Prime Minister’s Questions the Labour leader urged the PM to reveal to MPs the “warts and all” legal advice on her unpopular Brexit deal so that they can make an informed decision over whether to let it pass through parliament on December 11.

Independent
Labour has demanded that Theresa May publishes the full legal advice on the Brexit deal and Irish backstop proposal, as concerns mount the government will publish only a summary. Writing to the Cabinet Office minister David Lidington, the party’s shadow Brexit secretary Sir Keir Starmer is now seeking an “urgent assurance” that all advice handed to ministers will be made available to MPs in the next couple of days. Sir Keir made clear the Commons “will accept nothing short” of the legal advice already presented to cabinet.

EU

Times
European leaders are prepared to offer Britain a three-month extension to Article 50 to prevent parliamentary deadlock triggering a no-deal Brexit. Under plans being discussed in European capitals the EU would agree to extend Britain’s membership until July to allow time for either a second referendum or to agree a Norway-style soft Brexit. However, the EU has made clear that the extension would only be offered after parliament had come to a clear conclusion about the type of future relationship it wants.

Guardian
The government would have to reopen negotiations with the EU on the Brexit deal if it sought an extension to the departure process to allow for a second referendum on the plan, Theresa May has told a committee of senior MPs. Asked whether an extension could be made to article 50, the timetable which decrees the UK leave on 29 March next year, to allow time for a referendum, May argued this would invalidate the deal agreed in Brussels on Sunday. Appearing before the liaison committee, which groups together the chairs of various subject-specific Commons committees, the prime minister also insisted a no-deal departure was still possible if MPs voted down her plan.

Breitbart
The prime minister has said extending the Article 50 divorce period to accommodate a second referendum would invalidate the deal she has negotiated, making voting options uncertain. Theresa May made the claim during a grilling from staunchly anti-Brexit Tory MP Dr Sarah Wollaston before the Commons’ liaison committee. She also strongly rejected the idea of re-running the referendum. Mrs May said such a vote would tarnish “the integrity of politicians and people’s trust in politicians,” deter people from voting in future, and bring practical complications.

Express
THE European Court of Justice (ECJ) has never been impartial, a German lawyer has warned, as Theresa May prepares to sign up for a Brexit deal with the European Union which critics claim will mean Britain is still within its jurisdiction. The draft withdrawal agreement ratified by Sunday’s summit of EU leaders, if agreed by Parliament and subsequently approved by the European Parliament, would mean an arbitration panel adjudicating on legal disputes between the UK and the EU. UK barrister Martin Howe last week questioned just how independent the panel would be, suggesting it would merely rubberstamp any rulings by the ECJ.

Fisheries

Express
EMMANUEL Macron was left “speechless with rage” by the post-Brexit agreement on fishing rights struck by the European Union and Theresa May, a beaming Michael Gove revealed today. The Environment Secretary amused MPs in the House of Commons recalling how the French President was left livid over the weekend, when he found out his fishermen will no longer have unlimited access to British waters. As he was answering questions on post-Brexit fishing rights in the lower chamber, Mr Gove said: “The truth is that as an independent coastal state we will be able to decide who comes into our waters and on what terms.”

Ireland

Sun
THERESA May ripped up a proposal that could have saved her Brexit deal, it emerged. It would have seen a termination clause to the controversial Irish backstop — which many believe will keep Britain locked in a customs union with Brussels for years. But she refused to back it, in a desperate bid to please the EU with the 585-page Withdrawal Agreement she eventually submitted — and described by Brussels as “the only deal possible”. The secret plan was commissioned last month by then-Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab and Attorney General Geoffrey Cox. It would have allowed the UK to abandon the policy, designed to keep the Irish border open in the event of No Deal.

Conservative Party

Telegraph
The number of Tory MPs who have spoken out against Theresa May’s Brexit deal hit 100 as critics said her two-week charm offensive is failing. Matthew Offord, the Tory MP for Hendon, on Thursday became the hundredth MP to say he would vote against the Prime Minister’s deal, warning that it will leave the UK “bound” to the EU and put the Union at risk. It came as Jo Johnson, a former minister who quit in protest at the deal, warned that the Tories will face a landslide defeat at the next election on a scale similar to 1997 if they push ahead with Mrs May’s Brexit deal.

Mail
Theresa May is failing to sell her Brexit vision to her own MPs as up to 100 Conservative politicians said they will vote down her deal. Despite embarking on her two week charm offensive – before her Brexit Bill goes before MPs in the ‘meaningful vote’ – politicians up and down the country remain sceptical of the offer on the table. Without enough votes to see the Bill through Parliament, Britain could crash out of the EU without a deal with Brussels.  Mrs May faces her biggest challenge to date as she attempts to win over MPs – yet recent counts say as many as 100 of her own back benchers, including up to 30 former ministers, will vote against the deal.

World Trade

Mail
Theresa May was dramatically confronted by MPs today as they accused her of bluffing over threats of no deal Brexit. In brutal clashes with a powerful Commons committee, the PM insisted contingency plans for crashing out of the bloc will have to be activated if Parliament rejects her package in a crunch vote on December 11. The 100th Tory MP to declare against the deal went public today – setting the stage for a humiliating landslide defeat.  But Labour’s Yvette Cooper said she did not believe Mrs May would follow through on no deal even after a catastrophic loss after the Treasury and Bank of England set out a doomsday scenario for the consequences.

BBC News
A cross-party group of MPs will use next month’s landmark Brexit vote to try to ensure the UK cannot leave the EU without a deal. They want to amend the “meaningful vote” motion to rule out “no deal”. The BBC understands Conservative, Labour, SNP, Liberal Democrat, Plaid Cymru and Green politicians are involved. MPs are due to vote on the prime minister’s Brexit agreement with the EU on 11 December. Theresa May has repeatedly said voting the deal down would risk a “no-deal” Brexit. But amendments being discussed in Westminster would seek to rule that out.

Westmonster
US Ambassador Woody Johnson has reiterated how important it is for the UK to take back control with a fully independent trade policy, reiterating once again that the UK would be “head of the line” for a deal with Trump’s America. Ambassador Johnson has written for The Times about how “the United States is ready to get straight to work”, is “enthusiastic” about a UK-US deal and that “the United States is ready to get straight to work”. Despite the naysayers casting doubt he also talks up the prospects of a mutually beneficial deal: “Together, we have the chance to set an example of what fair, free and reciprocal, win-win trade really looks like.”

Migration

Times
Net migration from outside the European Union is at its highest in 14 years, with tens of thousands more people coming to work and study in Britain. The figure was 76,000 higher than the previous year and driven largely by more students arriving from Asia, including China and India. Campaigners for lower immigration described the net non-EU figure as “astonishing” because such migration is under the government’s control.

Mail
The government is set to relax its immigration laws in a bid for more doctors to come to Britain and help soothe the strain of a lack of doctors.  As it stands, under the medical training initiative (MTI), 1,500 foreign doctors are allowed to come and work on our shores but ministers have agreed to allow that to rise anywhere up to 3000, according to The Guardian.  They added that the doctors can also stay for a year longer, up from two to three, under the new plans.

Guardian
The government is set to relax its immigration rules to let more foreign doctors come to Britain to help tackle the NHS’s widespread shortages of medics, the Guardian can reveal. Ministers have agreed to significantly expand the 1,500 doctors a year allowed to come and work in Britain under the medical training initiative (MTI). The move could result in the maximum number of non-EU medics able to come rising to as many as 3,000. The length of time young doctors from outside the EU are able to stay in Britain under the scheme may also rise from two to three years, according to well-placed sources.

Independent
Contingency plans to ensure the supply of medicines and other health services will be triggered before Christmas if Theresa May’s Brexit deal fails to get MP’s backing next month, the head of NHS England has admitted. Simon Stevens, told the Commons Health Committee that plans for a no deal Brexit, some costing “tens of millions of pounds”, would need activating within weeks if the transition plan is voted down on 11 December. Contracts to take on additional warehouses and refrigerator capacity for drug stockpiles and other biological materials would be included in these expenses.

Times
Thousands of people with diabetes will be put on ultra low-calorie diets in a trial that could lead to soup-and-shake prescriptions for the obese. Another 100,000 at risk of diabetes will be given cookery and dance lessons and activity trackers. Simon Stevens, chief executive of NHS England, says that it must do more to stop people becoming ill if it is to make the most of a £20 billion budget boost promised by the government.

Telegraph
Liquid diets will be prescribed to thousands of people with diabetes in a bid to reverse the disease. Overweight adults will be put on a strict regime limiting them to 800 calories a day in an effort to tackle Britain’s diabetes timebomb. The measures, under an NHS 10 year plan, will see a doubling in the number of overweight adults enrolled in weightloss programmes. Around 200,000 overweight adults will be enrolled into schemes offering free Fitbits, one to one coaching and advice on healthy eating. And 5,000 of those with a diagnosis of diabetes will be targeted for a national trial of diets which have been found in smaller studies to reverse the condition in almost half of cases.

Sun
WORKLOADS for GPs are reaching “saturation point” as they order more than three times as many tests than 15 years ago, scientists have said. The diagnostics cost the NHS over £2.8billion a year, even using conservative estimates. And reviewing results is increasing pressure on doctors, the researchers from institutions including Oxford and Stanford universities point out. Lead author Dr Jack O’Sullivan, of Oxford University, said: “Our results support other evidence that suggests general practice workload in the UK is reaching saturation point.

Education

Times
The government is losing top maths and physics graduates to the City and industry as teacher recruitment numbers tumble. Teachers’ leaders said that enrolment had reached “crisis” point and figures revealed a failure by the Department for Education to meet its teacher-training targets for the sixth year, despite pouring hundreds of millions of pounds into bursaries. The number of graduates training as physics teachers has fallen below half of those required. The number training for maths also fell sharply.

Sun
THE Government has failed to hit its own teacher recruitment target for the sixth year in a row, official figures show today. Post-graduate recruitment is at its highest level since 2011-12 with 29,255 trainees brought in but still falls short by 2, 971 posts. Ministers were aiming to bring in 32,226 teachers this year, according to their own census. Last night Labour’s Shadow Education secretary Angela Rayner blasted: “The Conservatives have created a crisis in teacher recruitment and retention, and now we know they have missed their own teacher recruitment target six years in a row.”

Carl Sergeant

Guardian
The first minister of Wales, Carwyn Jones, has told an inquest that it would have been wrong for him to give a cabinet member details of allegations made by women about his conduct before he sacked him. Jones said he was worried that if he had told Carl Sargeant exactly why he was being dismissed it risked exposing the identities of the women who had made the complaints. The first minister said he did not contact Sargeant after sacking him because he felt it was not appropriate to do so.

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