Written by Harold Armitrage

 

In my article of 19th July 2019 (link) I wrote about future energy policies. Now the pigeons are now coming home to roost – see this article in the DM on Friday, 17th September.

As the world economy winds up as the covid pandemic winds down, energy prices are set to rise steeply.  So steeply that the “Go Compare”  website has closed down, unable to give a fixed price. Wholesale gas prices have risen around 20% and seem to be set to continue to rise. This affects the price of electricity. Most of our gas comes from the Middle East by cryogenic tankers or by pipeline from Norway. However this doesn’t protect us from price rises, the gas could be easily sent elsewhere.

Is this the start of the energy war, inevitable at some point as depletion sets in?  No doubt the Russian will put their spoke in, holding the EUSSR to ransom – see also here. Could the international electricity links be closed?  Who knows. No doubt poorer and less influential parts of the world will suffer the most. Will we see rolling blackouts this Winter, is the whole emergency contrived?

It’s probably a good idea to work out how you would survive if there were to be power cuts this coming Winter. Times of peak demand are the most likely to cause problems.
Back in 2017, Britain’s largest gas storage facility was closed as no longer fit for purpose (link). There was a plan to spend a massive sum of money to refurbish this facility, I don’t know what progress has been made.

So, what can we individuals do in the event of planned or even unplanned power cuts this Winter? The main danger arises from unplanned power cuts of unknown duration – most likely to be caused by political troubles from the EUSSR.

My own house uses no gas and has massive insulation. There is a small wood burning stove that has a hotplate for cooking. Plus of course a store of wood. Alternatively, a “Camping Gas” stove. If you have gas heating, except for old fashioned gas fires, it won’t work without electricity. I also have candles and torches. The main problem would be freezers and fridges.  To overcome this, I have a small petrol generator (and of course petrol).

It’s necessary to make sure you have a plan as to how to connect your appliances to the generator and have a test run before any problems arise. Have a can of “Easystart” to hand. I have an idea there might be a rush to buy portable generators, right now would be the time to get one. Bear in mind, some “el cheapo” portable generators are unsuitable for use with electronic equipment, electrical “spikes” generated can cause permanent damage.

Keep your car well topped up with petrol/diesel (the fuel pumps need electricity too). Remember the car radio can keep you in touch with events if things get very bad. If you buy candles, also buy cigarette lighters. Some people might need to practice lighting candles, I’m told!

But make your arrangements right now and be sure you know where everything is and you could find it in the dark. Have several torches and keep one by the bed.

Make sure your other essentials (food and toilet rolls etc.) are well stocked up, lack of electricity disrupts every aspect of our lives including Tesco.

Be sure to have at least one telephone that needs no electricity.

Make sure your water supply isn’t open to freezing.

If the worst comes to the worst, snuggle up in bed under a duvet.

Be security minded: what people can’t buy, they might steal. What action would you take if there was an intruder?

 

 

Photo by cloth.paper.string | sarah