Where would our wonderful MSM be without ‘that’ Cummings hearing! It’s perfect material for their indulging in nit-picking and shifting ‘the narrative’, but in the Sunday Times today there’s a comment or opinion piece which deserves to be kept ‘for the record’. The author, Matthew Syed, demonstrates that critical thinking and a critical look at the historical texts is all that’s needed to pull the rug from under the experts’ attempts to re-write covid history.

The title of the article is “Scientists make mistakes.That’s fine, but they shouldn’t deny them” (link, paywalled) – that’s reasonably gentle. The subtitle though contains the warning which applies not just to scientists but to all the covid ‘experts’ sat in MSM newsrooms:  “Our experts seem to have short memories about what they really advised during the first wave”. (link, paywalled)

Mr Syed starts with a little anecdote, plucked from the modern-day ‘news source’ that is twitter. Well, if covid scientists think this is the way to influence people or ‘frame the narrative’ then they deserve what’s coming:

“A conjuring trick is taking place before our eyes, an attempt to rewrite history even as it is unfolding. One aspect of this struck me this week after seeing a tweet from Sir Jeremy Farrar of the Wellcome Trust. He linked to that famous clip of Yes, Prime Minister where Sir Humphrey is talking about the art of strategic dithering. Above the clip, Farrar posted the words: “Sent to a friend in March 2020!”

Farrar’s point was not difficult to discern. On the day after the testimony of Dominic Cummings, he was seeking to bolster the narrative that Boris Johnson vacillated in the early days of the pandemic. Boris dithered. Those in government had their minds on other things. They thought the economy was more important than saving lives. Despite the warnings of scientists, politicians failed us.” (link, paywalled)

After this gentle introduction, here’s the first blow landed by Mr Syed:

“But there was a problem with this tweet and Farrar knows it. The government was not dithering in March 2020, but acting in accordance with the advice of its scientific committee. In other words, people such as Farrar himself, a leading member of Sage.

This is not a pro-Boris point, or a pro-Tory point, or pro-right-wing point. Rather, it is a pro-truth point. This can be seen from the published minutes of Sage, which are unequivocal. In February, these endorsed the flu playbook, with the assertion that halting the virus was “a waste of resources”. The minutes of March 13 are even more explicit: “Sage was unanimous that measures seeking to completely suppress spread of Covid-19 will cause a second peak.” Politicians were not dithering; they were following the judgment of people like Farrar.” (link, paywalled)

Indeed – and this is something we must not forget. We’ve seen last week how some in the MSM were already telling us that SAGE ‘didn’t want lockdowns’ – implying that ‘Cummings made them do it’. Well, they can’t have it both ways: either BJ followed SAGE’s advice which was ‘correct’, or he succumbed to Cummings, locking us down. If SAGE was ‘anti-lockdown’ – why are they now so keen to keep us imprisoned? One can’t help but wonder if this is about power politics in No 10 rather than about the health of the nation! Perhaps it’s only about fixing blame on politicians who ‘followed the science’? Next:

“This is, however, just one aspect of the smoke and mirrors of recent weeks. Look at the subtle repositioning of the goalposts by Professor Neil Ferguson in interviews. Look at how the narrative is now so entrenched that it is scarcely challenged when people say that Johnson “bottled” lockdown, or when a profile of Sir Patrick Vallance says, “it now seems clear that Johnson was slow to heed Vallance’s early advice”, or when a blog by Laura Kuenssberg says that on March 13 Sage had “concluded the virus was spreading faster than thought”. All categorically untrue.

I hear from critics, even today, allegations like “Boris got it wrong on masks”. In fact, Nervtag (the advisory group on new and emerging respiratory virus threats) explicitly argued last year that masks were a bad idea. “There is no evidence to support that the wearing of facemasks by the general public reduces transmission.” Or take the idea that Johnson was oblivious to the dangers of mass events. Again, he was following the published advice: “Many outdoor events, particularly, are relatively safe.”

Or take the idea that testing was a waste of time, a key reason it wasn’t scaled up in January and February 2020, leaving stocks dangerously short. Again, scientists were unequivocal, with Jennie Harries — then the deputy chief medical officer — saying that testing is “not an appropriate mechanism”. Or take scientific advice on border control: “International travel restrictions are highly unlikely to interrupt the spread of an epidemic significantly.” (link, paywalled)

Interesting, isn’t it! Why is it suddenly wrong to have ‘followed the science’ in those early months of 2020 but is eminently correct to do so now? Why should we accept the ‘advice’ of those experts who were ‘wrong’ then? How do we know they’re correct now? Moving on – my emphasis added:

“I have no problem with scientists making mistakes, by the way. I haven’t whispered a single criticism of Vallance, Whitty or Farrar since the beginning of the pandemic, recognising that everyone learns during a crisis. No, what troubles me is not the making of mistakes, but the systematic attempt to edit them out of history.” (link, paywalled)

Precisely – and as Mr Syed shows, this is exactly what is happening now. He uses the dratted question of ‘herd immunity’ – something, as we all know, was never properly investigated from the moment this expression first drifted into the MSM:

“For a particularly telling example, consider the emerging fantasy over the central policy dilemma. We know from published documents that the government plan was to develop herd immunity via natural infection. Vallance said so publicly, as did Whitty and others connected to the Sage groupthink. They were not saying this because they are callous or seeking to “kill your granny”, or any of the other familiar slurs. No, they were acting on sincere beliefs. The documents show they thought that if lockdown was imposed too early, it would lead to a higher winter peak, and therefore more deaths. The problem wasn’t their motives, but their analysis.” (link, paywalled)

This brings us to the main point Matthew Syed is making;

“And yet today, Vallance, Harries and others are looking squarely at TV cameras and in effect saying: “Herd immunity [via infections] was never the strategy.” It is like pointing at a blue sky and saying: “It’s purple.” On this point, Cummings is entirely correct. […] But this brings me to a nagging fear about whether we will have the maturity to learn from this experience. For there is little doubt that the reason scientists are seeking to “get ahead of the story” is anxiety about being scapegoated by a future inquiry. Could Vallance admit to pursuing herd immunity without people accusing him of killing their mothers? When so many politicians have a promiscuous relationship with the truth, it is even more imperative that scientists tell it as it is.” (link, paywalled)

Sorry, Mr Syed: when ‘experts’ and politicians are trying to escape being ‘scapegoated, they don’t behave like mature adults or indeed scientists bent to learn from experience and past mistakes. It’s only ever about saving their skins, their ‘reputation’. One of the lessons dinned into us lowly science students many years ago was that there would be no blame when a practical experiment went wrong – provided we described where it went wrong and why. Have all our SAGEs unlearned that early lesson? Is blame and the avoidance of blame the only driving force? Is that the reason why Mr Syed saw fit to conclude thus:

“So, let me finish with the words of Anthony Hidden, the QC who investigated the Clapham Junction rail disaster in 1988: “There is almost no human action or decision that cannot be made to look flawed and less sensible in the misleading light of hindsight.” These words should be pinned to the door of a future inquiry and used in response to anyone who rushes to judgment on frontline professionals making decisions in complex circumstances.

It is, I think, the only way to get the truth. It is also the only way to subvert the false narratives that are threatening to harden into conventional wisdom.” (link, paywalled)

Ah – but who is ‘rushing to judgement’? Not us peasants who’ve observed the games played by SAGE, No 10 and not least the MSM who all ‘rush to judgement’ now that an inquiry is on the horizon. As for ‘subverting false narratives’: well, this ought to have been the task of proper reporters. Alas, it didn’t happen then and isn’t happening now. After all, who are those reporters, who are we to doubt, never mind criticise the ‘experts’!

There’s one tiny bit of silver lining though: we’ve got good memories, we’ve got the records, we remember what and how the MSM, the experts and the government acted. Unless they all act in concert and eradicate all their papers, tweets and TV interviews we uneducated riff-raff will know how and when they try to subvert history by their false ‘narratives’.