My goodness – wasn’t yesterday exciting! Reading the headlines it looked as if Ms May would surely be gone and Messrs Gove or Lidington installed as PM that evening. I’ve even had friends email me from across the Big Pond asking what the heck was going on.
Well, let’s be generous and evenhanded and call it Peak Brexit Hysteria. By yesterday evening, it was all over and done with. The alleged PMs-in-Waiting denied everything on telly – watch them here and here – but before that, do watch Ian Duncan Smith here who elegantly shredded the whole tissue of gossipy rumours.
But surely something was afoot? After all hadn’t Ms May invited the ‘hard-core Brexiteeers’ to Chequers for tea and biscuits? So she had – see here and here, and paywalled here and here.
Let me draw your attention to two points. One is that the Remain MSM insinuate that it was the ERG representatives JRM, BoJO and IDS who were the actual ‘plotters’, never questioning that they, the MSM themselves, were the ones who actually ‘elevated’ Mr Gove as coming PM, based on nothing but rumours”, “friends said …”.
The other point is reporting what that Chequers meeting was all about: Ms May ‘scaring’ those hardcore ERG types into supporting her abomination: “My way or BRINO” – and never mind that ’her way’ actually is BRINO. The Times (paywalled) writes:
“After meeting prominent Brexiteers at Chequers yesterday, the prime minister is instead expected to allow parliament to move towards a softer exit from the European Union. The strategy is designed to scare hard Brexiteers into line and steer them towards her deal while seeing off an attempt by MPs to seize control of Commons business.”
while the DT (paywalled) has more details:
“During three hours of “frank” discussions she issued an appeal for them to support her deal and said that Britain faced a significantly softer Brexit if it fails to pass in the Commons. The Telegraph was told that several of those present, including Mr Rees-Mogg, the leading Eurosceptic, asked her to set a timetable for her departure. However Mrs May declined to do so and subsequently refused to be drawn on the matter when it was raised again. A Downing Street source said the Prime Minister is concerned that setting a date for her departure will look “weak” and could damage her attempts to pass her deal through the Commons.”
Attentive readers that you are you’ll have immediately spotted that it’s now about Ms May ‘looking strong and stable’. It’s no longer about Brexit, about our country, about our democracy. It’s about appearance, not substance!
The article continues:
“The source said Mrs May was only willing to do so once she knows that she “has the numbers” to win the vote in the Commons. […] Mrs May was said to have given little detail on her plans. She has previously suggested that the Department for Exiting the European Union could be restructured.The Prime Minister focused her warnings on “indicative” votes in the Commons this week, which will be held on alternative Brexit approaches including a customs union, second referendum and revoking Article 50.” (paywalled link)
In other words – everything remains. Ms May, the government, Parliament: all might as well have followed the Whitehall Mandarins and delivered us, shackled, back to the EU. That’s modern ‘democracy’ …
The title of Boris Johnson’s Monday column in the DT (paywalled) this morning says it all: “Theresa May is a chicken who’s bottled Brexit. The only way forward is to come out of the EU now” …
To be sure, BoJo, and to be sure we agree with this analysis – or do we?
“It is wrong in every sense to blame MPs for blocking Brexit. It is both shameful, and inaccurate. MPs voted overwhelmingly to trigger Article 50, and therefore to leave the EU on March 29 – this coming Friday. It is a scandal that we are not in fact doing so. The reason we are not leaving on Friday is not the fault of MPs. We are not leaving this Friday because the government has chickened out.”
And Ms May is not ‘the government’ ? Oh dear … moving on:
I believed that the PM genuinely had the 29th of March inscribed in her heart. She repeated her commitment to coming out – deal or no deal – so often that I trustingly assumed that she meant it. It surely followed, I thought, that if she could not persuade the House of Commons to support the withdrawal treaty on which the EU insisted – and the Commons has now voted it down with two colossal majorities – she would draw the logical conclusion. She would simply enact the mandate of both parliament and people. She would fulfil the manifesto promise. […] I imagined that the government would be sufficiently full of gumption to make a success of our departure, whatever happened, and that we would show the confidence commensurate with one of the greatest economies on earth. I am afraid I misread the government.” (paywalled link)
Personally, I find it very hard to believe that someone as astute as BoJo was fooled for such a long time! After all, we ignorant peasants out here weren’t – we knew, after Chequers, what was on the cards and said so.
Personally, I also am tired of BoJo’s oh-so-elegant play with words. I do not agree with his reverence for all those MPs who have been actively plotting to keep us in the EU with their amendments.
Personally, I believe that during the years of negotiations the Tory Brexit MPs have blithely taken their eyes off the Brexit ball, thus allowing the Coopers, Boles, Grieves to pick it up and run with their Brexit demolition proposals.
We dumb, uninformed peasants knew after Chequers what was being done to Brexit – but none of those lofty ERG types listened to us. Not even the resignation of two DexEU ministers (Davis, Raab) and their deputies (Baker, Bannerman) were warning lights to them.
So in all fairness we can ask them: “where have you been? What have you done except swanning around looking good on telly?”
Above all, we can ask them why they did not depose Ms May when they had the chance at the 1922 Committee meeting last year? Were they frit?
Whatever happens now – they’ve shown themselves up now for the knaves and scoundrels as much as as those on the opposition benches. They can only redeem yourselves, somewhat, if you get us out this coming Friday.
And for starters they should denounce the fraud perpetrated on the Nation by the well-financed Remainers with their fraudulent ‘petition’ and that ‘1-million-march’. Or are they afraid of losing the hundreds and thousands of votes by Idi Amin and Adolf Hitler, or the 8,000 votes of one (!) JRM?
I’ll write separately on the constitutional aspects as explained by Martin howe QC in his paywalled article in the DT this morning. Meanwhile:
In old-time reckoning, it’s 4 days to Brexit.
In new, EU-time reckoning, it’s 17 days to Brexit (if ever).
We will KBO regardless
Boris Johnson: “Theresa May is a chicken who’s bottled Brexit.”
Did he really say that? This from the man who many saw as the ideal ‘Brexiteer’ candidate to take over after David Cameron resigned in a huff?
Boris had his chance to stand in the Tory leadership election (which Theresa May only won by default because everyone else bottled it) and he chickened out himself. Like Nigel Farage, he chose to snipe from the sidelines instead.
Sadly, he is just yet another hypocrite, all talk and no action.
FYI – here are the seven amendments tabled for this evening’s vote:
https://www.conservativehome.com/parliament/2019/03/the-seven-amendments-tabled-ahead-of-this-evenings-brexit-debate-in-the-commons.html
The speaker, AFAIK, hasn’t yet made a selection.
The vote allegedly taking place around 10 pm.
First class summary. Thank you VIv.
Yes agree stout. I am becoming quite a fan of viv’s writing. 4 days to brexit? Think the two earth years article 50 was supposed to last is really 99 EU years. Did anyone read the small print?
Can anyone help me with how I think today because I am going round in circles in my head.
1. Supposed letter from a civil servant in the “know” virtually says the remainer driven, now insane PM is preparing to kick her party, the country and everyone in the proverbials. Summing up as follows
“But given everything we know of Theresa May, she is still likely to try this on and do her damnedest to drive the UK over a Brexit cliff-edge by trashing parliamentary process, the law and the constitution in order to make the country ungovernable so we scream for it to stop, please just stop, we’ll do anything, where do we sign to say we want to join the United States of Europe…
This is not just a cynical abuse of power by a fanatical Remainer. It is a clear and present danger to the rule of law and the economic political and social fabric of the country.”
or
2. She is now heading towards leave on Friday without her deal or any other. I came to this “maybe” scenario because it appears to be all Remainers who are demanding her immediate removal in various stages of hysteria as if the penny has finally dropped that that is what will happen. So a double, double bluff?
Of course neither could be any sort of reality but then life does have a Wonderland feel about it at the moment. Completely unreal.
Hez,
I’m pretty sure nobody knows anything by now..I don’t think they have had as much time tio consider everything as we have and I’m confused. Even after numerous advices. So how do you think they feel. Bearing in mind they don’t normally have to think at all. Just troop through the lobbies.
Just imagine doing that to orders from dear Jeremy…or the Momentum Grand Spymaster..How would you feel.?
Withdrawal agreement = remain.
Our main problem is that our MPs are mentally challenged and are not capable of making up their minds on evidence for themselves. They rely on the leader to ORDER them .
I have just read https://socialistworker.co.uk/art/48087/Tommy+Robinson+and+Ukip+to+march+this+Friday+++protest+against+them to my dismay.
Yet again, by associating UKIP so strongly with brand Tommy, against the wishes of the NEC, it gives our enemies an open goal, and significantly increases the risk of violence on Friday.
Can nobody make Gerard see sense at least until Brexit is done and dusted?
Clearly not.
It may also affect the decent, law abiding citizens who are attending the Leave Means Leave rally in Parliament Square on 29 March. an event organised before Batten and TR decided to mess things up.
Previously, when Batten and TR had their events in Whitehall, antifa et al congregated in Parliament Square. The police just sealed off access to Whitehall. The risk now is that antifa types will be forced to mingle with the LmL crowd in Parliament Square. Batten and TR unaffected but the law abiding decent people potentially intimidated or worse.
The puritanical `it’s us or no-one’ stance from Batten/TR is, in effect, putting party before country.
Pretty sure that sooner or later the ‘decent law abiding citizens of LML’ will be next on the anti-facist/anti racist list of targets. Nigel does not have bodyguards for nothing.
Please do not blame UKIP or TR for the future imagined violence of these organisations which are well funded and seemingly operate their ‘protests’ without attracting the full force of the law.
I agree with Stout. My public and open plea on these pages last week for UKIP and alternative Brexit parties , including Catherine’s nascent Brexit Party and LML to get together in these crucial times to have a unified front have met on deaf ears.
I then saw the -frankly absurd – statement made by Gerard and mentioned by both Spon and Stout, whose counsel I respect enormously- and I am left utterly baffled as to why Gerard is accepting ‘sponsorship’ from the TR organisation whilst branding the TR rally on the 29th ‘ a UKIP event’ .
I am also appalled by rumours- as yet unproven – that UKIP’s leadership has promised MEP listings to ‘Sargon of Akkad ‘ ‘Tommy Robinson’ and “Danny Tommo’
I would ask our resident constitutional expert Spon, if under the current regulations, these people even qualify as candidates.
This Friday, as a staunch Brexiteer and a UKIP campaigning veteran, I will not attend the Tommy Robinson rally disguised as a UKIP event but will be protesting at the LML meeting instead.
I will also reveal that I have received disturbing correspondence from UKIP supporters who oppose TR and his cronies, who are too frightened to go to Westminster because of threats of violence from TR’s goons.
Spon. Can you advise as to when UKIP leadership elections are taking place as I will be campaigning with any likely candidate that wishes to depose the current regime.
Kevin
Spon, from your link: “Five mosques in Birmingham were attacked with sledgehammers in the early hours on Thursday of last week. The attacks came shortly after an Islamophobic attack near an east London mosque and a stabbing “inspired by the far right” in Surrey. ”
There is so much that is wrong in that article, namely that UKIP is ‘racist’. But with regards to the mosque ‘attacks’ in Birmingham last week, West Midlands Police, after arresting and charging a man, now state that this was not terror or far-right extremism:
https://www.birminghammail.co.uk/news/midlands-news/police-say-mosque-attacks-not-16026659
I do agree with Kevin and Stouts comments below/above, I am disappointed that Gerard Batten has chosen to associate UKIP with Tommy Robinson and ‘TR News’ at this crucial moment.
I find it deeply ironic that ‘TR News’ is supposedly ‘sponsoring’ this UKIP event, while in turn begging its own supporters for donations.
Socialist Worker and Tommy Robinson / TR News are both equally as guilty of being instruments to whip up divisions and hatred.
I want to see an end to these elitist games of divide and rule, if UKIP cannot see that it needs to stop playing this game and get the ‘ordinary’ people to rise up against our common enemy – the Establishment – then I’m afraid I’m done with UKIP.
The Conservative Party is institutionally rotten to the core. I made my mind up about that in 1992 during the depths to which they plummeted to force Maastricht Treaty through Parliament (David Davis was one of the whips) and nothing has changed. It is run like a corporation for the interests of its largest sponsors affording glittering careers and monies for those who take their Danegeld as they climb the greasy pole.
Suppose we cannot blame them as they have their bills to pay but as for the useful idiots that vote for them ……….
Then the ERM tragedy was forgotten. It shouldn’t have been: thousands of ordinary folk had their homes and businesses repossessed and had financial nightmares for even decades after. People who worked their butts off to pay poxy MPs’ fat salaries. All to satisfy the snake oil Tories’ love affair with the EU. In the background Soros made billions. Evil triumphs. I tear my hair out at the dimwits who mindlessly always voted Tory (or any mainstream, but at least DimLib and Labour are more honest about their agenda). i have had plenty of supercilious sneering from them over the years, and I am angered that their smug stupidity has helped to condemn future generations to an appalling future. .