Calmly observing the panicking usual suspects
And here, ladies and gentlemen, we present the latest fear porn item: the sinking ££. Oh wait – it’s been staying stable when Asian markets opened this morning, writes the DM (link). However, the banks are now ‘dithering’ and are ‘temporarily’ withdrawing mortgage offers (link). Therefore, “Tories fear a ‘world of pain’ if homeowners face rate rises” (link, paywalled) while Labour is rising in the polls, especially since Starmer promised to ‘get 1.5m more people onto the housing ladder’, according to the Daily Mirror’s print front page, seen at the usual place (link).
Meanwhile, ‘Tory backbenchers’ are angry with Truss and Kwarteng about all that turmoil. Old cynic that I am, I believe that yon Tories now angry with Truss and her people are suffering from buyers’ remorse. But: they wanted Truss, now they’ve got Truss, so now live with it. The fact that Labour is climbing in the polls has of course nothing at all to do with their anger. The fact that, thanks to the Conference, Labour is suddenly in the headlines can of course have nothing to do with this either. After all, until now we’ve not heard a peep from Labour. I bet many didn’t even know they had something like a shadow Chancellor, never mind knowing who that ws.
So let me ask a delicate question: isn’t it odd that Labour looks to support bankers and money lenders with their pledge to raise income tax levels back to where they were? After all, that’s what such ‘pledge’ will achieve. But lets not quibble about the economic competence of Lab or Con. Let’s ask why the MSM are so keen to howl about yon falling ££ without acknowledging that there might, just might be other, non-UK influences at work.
The Times writes that, actually, much about the Kwarteng Plan was known before he revealed it. Well, that applies to all those banking circles and Westminster ‘insiders’ who have privileged access to Whitehall gossip. The tax cuts however allegedly ‘evaporated’ bankers’ confidence, not that we’re told why that should have been the case.
Here’s an oddity: gossip in the MSM had it that Truss and Kwarteng were going to lift the cap on bankers’ bonuses. Far be it from me to regard this as a bit of a bribe – but the Guardian reported yesterday evening that “Sources at largest banks say the did not lobby for move nor expect it to result in major changes to pay packets” (link). Doesn’t that look a bit like saying ‘twasn’t us, guv, who made the ££ tumble’? Or even ‘we’re innocent of money market turmoil, inflation and all the rest’? Have a look at this observation by Iain Martin in the Times:
“The markets, investors and traders who buy and sell government debt, currencies and all manner of financial instruments, hated it [the tax cuts], on the basis that they think the government is being reckless with the public finances.” (link, paywalled)
Do those bankers and traders think that a Labour government would actually be ‘prudent’ with government finances? A certain G. Brown was throwing that word around while he was Chancellor, prudently selling our gold reserves when the price was at its lowest. Will a Labour government, T.Blair MkII, be more prudent by taxing more to pay more civil servants for being unproductive? Has the cause for inflation – more money searching for fewer goods – suddenly become irrelevant? Mr Martin observes further:
“The panic has produced some ridiculous results. The cost of insuring Britain against a default — credit default swaps — has increased so fast that Britain is miles in front of every G7 country other than Italy. Yet Britain is not some wild outlier. Its debt to GDP ratio is about 100 per cent. France’s is higher, at 112 per cent. Italy’s is north of 150 per cent. Britain has its own floating currency, and while the hammering of the pound is worrying, policymakers can push up rates and adjust down if there is a recession. Britain is not about to sink, bankrupt, into the sea.” (link, paywalled)
There’s one other factor influencing this ‘crisis’ which throws an interesting light on the MSM’s reporting and analysing the current situation. Mr Martin writes:
“I do wonder, though, about the relatively new polarising role of social media in exacerbating market crises and making observers overexcited. Social media barely existed at the time of the 2008 financial crisis. Now, when a panic starts, every move is subject to a blizzard of hysterical, rapid-fire commentary and competing graphs of death flying around the internet. To get noticed, it helps to be as panic-stricken as possible.” (link, paywalled)
Interesting, isn’t it: we’re presented with financial fear porn based on social media ‘competitors’ angling for more ‘likes’, driving each other to new heights of panic. And this is why “we” must now trust Starmer and his jolly crew? Strewth!
And finally, given the dire straits of certain EU countries, one might wonder how the saintly €€ will fare, especially now that Italy has that ‘orrible ‘post-fascist ultra-extreme-far right’ government. Now see this:
“The euro has also been hit hard by the strength of the dollar. As in the 1980s, where it caused arguments between Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan, the dollar is strong against all other currencies. The Americans have greater self-sufficiency in energy and their currency benefits from a flight to safety effect in a war era.” (link, paywalled)
Cynical old me wonders why it is that our MSM, our economic correspondents, never mind politicians sporting blue, red or yellow rosettes, are so very silent about the USA. So let me draw your attention to an entry in the blog “Moon of Alabama” published yesterday afternoon, titled “The U.S. Is Winning Its War On Europe’s Industries And People” (link).
I urge you to read the whole thing if you haven’t seen it already. But: be warned: it just might elevate your general cynicism to a whole new level when you open the MSM in the coming days …
Behold – here’s a ‘mystery’. Picking up from reports in German papers, Reuters this morning had three articles:
“Sweden issues warning of two gas leaks on Nord Stream 1 pipeline” ; “Nord Stream operator says three offshore gas pipelines damaged in one day” and “Kremlin: sabotage cannot be ruled out as reason for Nord Stream damage”.
These leaks were detecgted yesterday by danish authorities who were able to pinpoint the location to an area near the island of Bornholm. A bit far away from Russia, as anyone with a certain level of knowledge in geography knows.
Moreover, there are NATO maritime exercises going on in that area, with participation by the US Navy. It’s inconceivable that they, that all the observers, didn’t and don’t have a clue of what happened and how. Of course, if we are to acept that somehow Russian secret naval forces were able to do this sabotage – then shouldn’t we all very concerned about the capabilities of the mighty NATO?
Of course, we’ll probably been told that an unhappy US ship had dragged its anchor – across three pipelines! – without noticing …
Yes, it’s a mystery alright – especially the mystery of how our MSM and politicians will try and explain this away.
~~~ *** ~~~
This comment post is the 50,000th since we pruned down the site last year to save on server rental costs.
Thank you all who have been commenting, and thank you all who’ve stuck with us, perhaps only reading.
Here’s to the race to the next goalpost: achieve 60,000 posts! So, boyz ‘n gurus: get writing!
🙂
Congratulations Viv – 50,000 comments. Shows someone’s reading INDEPENDENCE DAILY and it’s great to hear from you all. As they say on Saturday evenings – Keeeeep commenting!!!!!
And the pictures are typical of an underwater gas leak – looks like a breached pipeline in this case (Stmt of the obvious!)
Blasts detected near Nord Stream pipelines amid leak – Swedish seismologists
“There is no doubt that these were explosions,” seismologist Bjorn Lund with Sweden’s National Seismology Centre (SNSN) told public broadcaster SVT on Tuesday.
https://www.rt.com/russia/563614-explosions-detected-near-nordstream/
(I’m ruling out Jermany and Russia).
And yes, congrats to you both and your suppot team.
Ah the penny drops………..why there are fewer outside articles published.
By the way is that an additional 60,000 posts or just another 10,000?
Whatever congratulations you and Debbie work evah so hard and your wonderful devotion to the job – on our behalf is much appreciated by all of us, particularly as not all of us would have an outlet to be `involved` at all
It’s only another 10,000 comment posts, Roger! “We can do it!”
Thank you Viv, particularly for that link to ‘Moon of Alabama’.. Didn’t read it all I confess but enough to confirm some of my previous belief that US and NATO are not our friends.
And some understanding of just how and why, they are working against the whole of Europe.
It’s one of the many sites one has to check regularly nowadays because our dearly beloved ‘journalists’ in our equally dearly beloved MSM simply are not doing their job properly. Sadly, doing this takes time …
PB I second that.
The situation is complicated by the fact that the USA, and the entire West, has been infiltrated by the Deep State, Globocap, who are everyone’s enemies, and enemies not least of the American people whom they treat abominably. The Deep State is based largely in USA ? but is not of the USA I heard said and are busy trashing the American Constituton.
A good article here about Trussonomics.
Can’t fault the logic.
https://conservativehome.com/2022/09/27/james-frayne-seven-reasons-this-change-of-economic-course-is-a-big-political-mistake/
HFAgain- As the Chinese say, ‘too soon to decide’.
And without looking at ‘The Economist ‘, it probably has more denigrating / corroborating comments – dismissed like HAF out of hand by past experience of posts.
Announced last week . . . ‘too soon to decide’.
Can’t be bothered to look at conhome. drives me up the wall with a load of rubbish.
( Even HA’s wicki fixation is not that bad.)
This is a government that possibly recognises that it is going to savaged at the next election and so it is essential for them to reward their rich party members and donors however it can. It will need funds to be an effective opposition party.
Very informative link – Moon of Alabama – thanks Viv.
People in power do not know what they are doing, yet imagine they do, despite time and time again seeing unintended consequences to almost everything they do. Will demand stimulus from tax cuts in a time of inflation make things better or worse? In truth, no-one knows. Can tax cuts promote growth without cutting public expenditure? No-one knows. There are merely differing opinions by ‘experts’ – Treasury, Bank of England, think tanks, city economists – none of whom have a convincing track record in predicting anything. Social contagion is more rapid than at any time thanks to the internet. Predictability is even less certain these days. The cost of government borrowing – tneyear bonds in particular – is going up. Was that foreseen? Was the amount correctly predicted by anyone? Is there a ceiling to borrowing costs? Have we reached it? What will the peak be? No-one knows. Apparantly, the cabinet is divided over Truss’ paln for more immigrants. One can only marvel that opnions still differ.
I read newspapers and other sources but increasingly see almost every columnist as just babbling, an effusion of almost random word salads divorced from reality. I look forward to the unfolding of events. About the only certainty is that there will be surprises.
Increasingly, I retreat into the arts which is easly done here in London. I even went to a dinner talk on James Joyce’s Ulysses. Absolutely reveting. A sign of something though I am not quite sure what. The impulse to finish the damn book one day has worn off though. But, I can now argue that Joyce was a genius and do so with conviction. A small spark of personal enlightment provoked by my despair over recent and current politics.
Well Stout, each to their own but I will just point out that the tax cuts are to lessen the threat of recession which is more damaging than the present inflation.
The favourite phrase of economic theory is ceteris paribus. Tax cuts may lessen the threat of recession, ceteris paribus, but other things never do stay constant, the value of sterling and bond yields for example. Tim Congdon is horrified by Trussonomics pointing out that under President Reagan the US Federal debt rose from 30.9% of GDP to 49.1% of GDP, and the debt/GDP ratio was on a sharply rising trajectory when Reagan left office. That is, lower taxes did not promote economic growth that later boosted tax revenues, lowered the budget deficit and keep the public finances under control.
Since no-one knows what will really happen and what levers actually work – if they did how come no-one has pulled them successfully before – we may as well just wish Trussonomics well. But, her belief in the immigration ponzi scheme will do her in – and us.
That reminds me of the old saying: “economists were invented to make weather forecasters look good” … that was of course from the times when there were no super-mega computers …
My favourite definition of an economist: someone who will tell you tomorrow why what they predicted yesterday didn’t happen today.
Aren`t we in the age of alogorythms
And just as those constructed by Prof Ferguson are implicitly believed but wildly wrong
Those by the treasury and every economical input can be just as much rubbish also
PS What the hell do I know about economics or algorythms for that matter (can`t even spell the word, maybe I should say `models` did,nt Ferguson get his originals off Wikipedia? must ask Harry!)
Let’s hope that voters waken up to the reality of a Labour government and their record of trashing the economy. Meanwhile here’s another threat from the Green Nonsense:
Western Europe is destroying itself with ‘green’ energy policies. (Article may be found on natural news.com. )
Wikipedia comment:
“Natural News is a far-right, anti-vaccination conspiracy theory and fake news website known for promoting alternative medicine, pseudoscience, …”
So I guess it’s likely to be reliable!
Jack. Natural News sounds like an excellent site!
Jack First you warn us of the reality of a Labour government trashing the economy and then express outrage about the Green nonsense. Isn’t that Green nonsense, courtesy of the Tories wrecking the economy ????
“Moon of Alabama” is obviously written by a non-English speaker….Lots of grammatical errors.
Are you referring to the few paragraphs by ‘b’ – he is German, but so what? – or are you referring to the long texts quoted from Michael Hudson’s articles, Mr Hudson being an American?
And pray tell how that invalidates the analyses of both?
Btw – I can’t recall any quibbles from you about the grammatical errors, never mind typos, in articles and reports in our oh-so-British MSM …
Great picture today Viv.
Thanks, Jack!
🙂
HFAgain- As Mum would say – you write as your belly grumbles. Maybe if you continue in like fashion, peeing off the moderator, hopefully you will be banned, and get your meager education augmented elsewhere.
And, I wish my written French was as good as the Jerman fellow’s written French. My written Russian is much, much worserer, (but comperhentible).
Full of fake facts eg Jamal pipeline. Probably Russian origin.
https://www.upstreamonline.com/production/gazprom-no-more-yamal-pipeline-gas-shipments-to-poland-and-germany/2-1-1218499
All facts which contradict the playbook of the latest ;current thing’ are fake, according to the proponents of the ‘current thing’ …
Well said Viv.
All the rhetoric is a good time to bury the ramping up of the proxy war in Ukraine, which like the 2008 global crash is going unnoticed by the great mass of the population still being keep quiet and asleep by the MSM. P.S. Don’t forget to queue up for your latest ‘Jabs’ by the way!
There is certainly a lot we are not told by T.P.T.B. Atticus.