This article was first published on FreeNations.net and is republished here with the author’s kind permission.
There were two basic schools of thought about how to react to the Coronavirus. The social and business shut down model (based on the now-discredited work of Imperial College London which given its incompetence and computing capabilities must never darken Government doors again), the partial, “liberal” restrictions applied in Sweden and variations on the two. Ironically the UK which adopted from March 23rd the total lockdown policy within the UK still has not restricted flights into Heathrow from some of the worst COVID19 hotspots in the world – although now the Government is with great irony proposing a 14-day quarantine for arrivals in the UK!
It was of course always farcical to prevent a UK resident from visiting his neighbour but allow a Chinese to fly to London from Beijing!
In the UK, as elsewhere, the Coronavirus thrives in densely populated, poorer, working-class and de-industrialised areas, dependent on close proximity public transport, many with black or Asian minorities particularly prone to the virus (skin resists Vitamin D absorption and many may be from countries with low vaccination regimes or lacking in build-up of any virus immunity). The highest number of cases per 100,000 population in the UK are in northern towns (the top 4 being Gateshead, Sunderland, South Tyneside and Middlesborough) with other high cases being in areas of London like Southwark and Brent.
HERD IMMUNITY?
There seems to be a very strong negative correlation between the number of infections by UK local authority and the “R rate” (the rate of spread of an infection) which the Government has decided to track closely to ensure there is no resurgence of infections after lockdown easing.
Northumberland has an infection rate of 281 cases per 100,000 and an R of 0.8.
Cumbria has respectively 425 and an R of 0.3 to 0.5 and
Gateshead has respectively 482 with an R of only 0.4.
But Herefordshire has low infections of 215 per hundred thousand but a dangerously high R of 1.8 – meaning that the rate of spread of infection is very high.
So a high number of infections seem to give a higher level of immunity – ie precisely that “herd immunity” policy which the UK Government abandoned in favour of the total social and business lockdown.
COVID DEATHS NO COMPARISON TO POPULATION GAINS
Up to today, 17th May 2020, the number of worldwide deaths from COVID19 stands at 316,000 – 1.4% of all worldwide deaths.
Births this year stand at 53m
Total deaths this year stand at 22m
So the total net increase in the world’s population is over 30m.
As I glean this information from “Worldometer” I can scarcely write quickly enough to keep up with the horrendous statistics of population growth. It has always been a characteristic of populations – of man or beast – that excess growth brings catastrophic collapse. Animals and insects have no means to control themselves – so nature does it for them.
GLOBALIST STRUCTURE AND COVID SPREAD
When man loses his capacity (or will) to apply controls to human population growth – or indeed goes out of his way to stimulate that growth – then he too must suffer the natural corrections of disease or famine. Today there are 7.7 bn people on earth.
This COVID infection has originated and spread through various characteristics of the modern world:
- Rapid Population growth
- Eating of exotic animals to sustain that population
- Dangerous Experiments with human and animal virus transmission
- Antibiotic resistance from over prescription to “protect” the population
- Post industrial poverty and population density in cities
- Movement of people to provide cheaper labour for corporations and Governments
- Global city hubs – flights from virus hotspots
In the 14th century the Black Death spread from the East and Central Asia through trade routes. Rats and the insects which they carried came from the goods trade – in particular along the Silk Road from China. Unlike COVID it was not humans travelling as much as goods (with rats and insects) arriving. It is ironic that although the transmission is different that same Silk Road in 2019-2020 brought intense cooperation between China and Iran – where so many of the civil servants and politicians co-operating with China lost their lives!
WORLD SITUATION IS IMPROVING – HOW LONG BEFORE COUNTRIES CONQUER COVID?
World recoveries as a % of cases continues to rise.
11/5/2020 35.9%
13/5/2020 37.5%
15/5/2020 38.0%
17/5/2020 38.7%
And when will countries emerge from this crisis? If we extrapolate from today’s infection curve to estimate the fall of new infections to negligible numbers then we can calculate the TOTAL LENGTH of the epidemic in each country. Two European countries have already come out of the infection. As yet there are no signs of a second wave emerging.
ESTIMATES OF TOTAL EPIDEMIC LENGTH:
USA 87 days
UK 91 days
Spain 85 days
Italy 96 days
Sweden 120 days
ALREADY FINISHED
Switzerland 74 days
Austria 64 days
In an earlier post I predicted on the basis of the then almost completed infection curves of China and South Korea that around 40 days should have seen the completion of the infections but it turns out that those countries, for various reasons (some positive, some negative) were never going to be typical of the western industrial countries.
Interesting Rodney Atkinson, but I must point out one apparent misconception. Antibiotics are NOT effective against viruses. You seem to be supporting the recent ‘cut down on antibiotics’ craze in our NHS. Well in my experience it was much overdone and caused more harm than good. Whatever, it would not have any effect on any virus pandemic.
Even though I am one of the ‘so called vulnerable people’ I would have been willing to take my chances with the ‘herd immunity’ theory. Let’s face it though that would not have been very popular.
Overall – a very interesting and thought provoking post.
As every day goes by there is another lunatic announcement. Nothing seems to halt the flow of stupid.
And ukip is leading the pack and going big on abolishing the House of Lords. Another of our protections against too much power for politics . For ukip to drop into ignorance is bad. And to make a banner out of it is ????
Repair, do not discard. It is there for a reason. Even if we are too silly to see.
Quite TGS.
Oh dear are they (UKIP) really saying that. What a really important issue to be plugging at this moment I say sarcastically.
The Sciences are great, and most of us would be stuck with our modern life if we didn’t have those sciences, but it must at all costs be remembered that Nature is to a large extent, a major science. – We forget it at our peril !
” I can scarcely write quickly enough to keep up with the horrendous statistics of population growth. It has always been a characteristic of populations – of man or beast – that excess growth brings catastrophic collapse. Animals and insects have no means to control themselves – so nature does it for them.”
Well said. One reason I left the Greens was that they abandoned their original advocacy of a birthrate “well below the replacement rate of 2.1 children per woman”. But then the Greens were taken over by pro-EU, globalist, growthist forces a long time ago. We need the old Ecology Party back.
‘The world Covid death rate 1.4 per cent of all deaths’ Do these figures distinguish between those who died with covid or from covid? The true figure of deaths of those dying from covid may be significantly lower
“When man loses his capacity (or will) to apply controls to human population growth – or indeed goes out of his way to stimulate that growth – then he too must suffer the natural corrections of disease or famine. Today there are 7.7 bn people on earth.”
One of the most profound statements I’ve ever read in an article. I have Lefties moaning at me all the time for shooting animals but I’m not a trophy hunter, I only shoot animals that need to be culled and at least I put them to good use, I eat the free range meat.
I’ve seen what happens when animals over breed, strip their environment, causing mass starvation and an environmental catastrophe. Deer, the animal that Walt Disney likes to portray as a wide eyed innocent creature is one of the worst offenders, very destructive but there are many other animals too, including humans.
I’ve also traveled extensively in the Third World, much of which long ago suffered enough population growth to overextend their economic systems and their ability to provide for their populations. Corruption doesn’t help either.
We in the West, had our populations under control, we didn’t need to suffer the fate of the Third World but unless urgent and dramatic action (unlikely) is taken we certainly will suffer this fate. Due to the rise of totalitarian Political Correctness, we haven’t even been allowed to discuss these otherwise very obvious problems, problems that any rational person could have foreseen but was too afraid to mention.
I’ve just been looking at predictions by the US Federal Reserve and other sources (https://youtu.be/Y6GC1UyNOOI) that predict a drop in US GDP of as much as 42%, we’re looking at an economic catastrophe that will make the 1930s Great Depression pale into insignificance. My prediction is that over the next few years, as resources grow scarce and like the Third World, we can’t provide for our population, the lies of Political Correctness will finally be exposed for the ridiculous propaganda that they are.
As we fight for resources, society will divide and compete along ethnic lines and war will break out on our streets, we’ll enter one of the bloodiest times in human history.
Thank you LibLabCon, particularly Tony Blair, I hope he is one of the first to go.
Society in many UK towns and cities is already divided along ethnic lines and those ethnics are already in control of many local businesses, especially those with turnover in cash. They are supported by their friends in local councils who may or may note be ethnics.
There might have been apparently valid reasons at the time for allowing mass immigration but only an idiot, or one intent on oppression of our native population, would have allowed them to gain nationality as opposed to being on annual visas.
Hey up flyer. For once I agree with you. Please take your gun to where the immigrants are landing. At the moment they are more of a problem to us than an excess of venison.
War Of The Wild shows what happens when there are too many hungry animals competing for too little food. This nature reserve is 25 miles east of Amsterdam.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8057699/How-trendy-metropolitan-eco-zealots-set-driving-farming-rewilding-land.html