First we had the worst local election results for the Conservatives since Tony Blair’s humiliation of John Major 25 years ago as; after breezily preparing to lose ‘around 600 seats’, the Tories lost more than double that number and 44 councils to boot. The other ‘main party’, who, as the official opposition, would normally be expected to gain seats and council chambers also succeeded in losing both.

Then, on Sunday, the Euro Election results handed the Tories their worst ever result with the Brexit Party taking 9 out of 12 regions and 29 MEP seats and the Tories falling to just 4 seats, another historic low. Again, from the Remainer camp, Labour was roundly punished for their continued indecision, coming a poor third after the Lib Dems and holding just 10 seats. Had this been a General Election with FPTP, and with the Rutland part of the Rutland & Melton Constituency voting in favour of TBP with 36.1% and Melton doing even better at 42.2%, I’d now have Annunziata Rees-Mogg as my local MP instead of Alan Duncan…

Maybe Brexit is a single issue but in the minds of most voters, as demonstrated twice in the space of a month, it’s the most important issue and it’s beginning to come apparent that regardless of other concerns, Remainers are voting Lib-Dem and Leavers are voting for the Brexit Party. The Conservatives and Labour, with their current stands, are rapidly becoming an irrelevance. This new polarization in British politics has already been highlighted elsewhere by better known and more knowledgeable political commentators than me…

But signs still show that the Westminster Bubble remains blindly unpoppable! Ex-Tory MP and member of the Change UK party, which polled abysmally, only beaten to the bottom of the league table by Gerard Batten’s benighted UKIP, the unlovable Anna Soubry, cheerfully tweeted her thanks to “over 600,000 people” who’d voted for them, adding, “we have polled better than any genuinely new UK party.” Well, sorry Anna, according to the Beeb, you actually got 571,846 votes and the real ‘genuine new UK party’, TBP, got nearly ten times that number, coming in at 5,248,533. Unless you are a graduate of the Diane Abbott school of mathematics, that means that TBP polled ten times better than you did! Of course, Soubry will point out that Nigel Farage has been involved in politics for over twenty-five years to justify her ‘genuine’ caveat whilst ignoring the inconvenient truth that she and her fellow members of the CUK losers club have well over 100 years as MPs between them, with the political tenures of people like Coffey and Gapes exceeding Nigel’s total individually!

But the real test of whether our political class, especially the Conservatives, are actually capable of facing the facts comes with the Tory Leadership contest. If, as has been widely reported, Tory MPs scrabble around to ‘Stop Boris’, or Raab for that matter, and arrange things so that yet another Remainer takes charge of the party and (theoretically at least) the country, then it really will be game over for the Tories. The only way they can stop the Farage juggernaut brushing them to one side will be to have a genuine crowd pleaser, like Johnson, who has already unequivocally committed to a No-Deal Brexit on 31st October should the EU be unwilling to shift un millimètre on their position. Only a genuine Brexiteer Conservative leader and PM, unafraid of going for the WTO No-Deal ‘Hard Brexit’, should EU intransigence continue, can dig the Conservatives out of the grave that they have so assiduously dug for themselves.

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