1. The “Project Fear” scare story now doing the rounds is that all Leave voters should “get behind Boris, Nigel should step aside, or we will get a Corbyn Marxist government with its Venezuelan-style economic policies and anti-semite prejudices and it will be a total nightmare”.
  2. With our First Past The Post voting system, when there are two parties on the same ‘side’ they can split that side’s vote, causing the opposing side to win a seat, even if it has a minority of votes overall.
  1. In this situation, voters will usually not vote for the party that they like best. They will vote for the party that they believe stands the best chance of stopping the party they dislike the most from winning. They will judge this on past form. So far, this has meant that those who dislike the Tories most will vote Labour and vice-versa.
  1. During previous General Elections the party most likely to stop Labour was the Tory party. But at the last nation-wide election, the Europarliamentary election, the new Brexit Party beat the Tories resoundingly, winning 29 seats to the Tories’ 4 seats, with 5,248,533 votes to 1,512,809.
  1. The electorate felt the Tories are not to be trusted.
  1. Although the Brexit Party currently has no seats in the House of Commons it is highly debatable whether they or the Tories should be considered the ‘junior’ partner and should step aside to give a free run to the other, in the supreme interest of getting Brexit at last.
  1. The obvious solution, if they both really want a Brexit, and to avoid a Corbyn or anyway a Remainer majority, is for them to form an electoral pact and not compete against each other in the same constituencies, each encouraging their followers to vote for the other partner, as the case may be, as sole pro-Brexit candidate in each constituency. This way a Leave majority would be assured. The Brexit Party would have a free run in the Labour heartlands where no Tory has ever been elected, and would abstain from fielding its own candidates in other seats, leaving a free run for the Tories.
  1. As recently as November 1st last, Nigel was offering an electoral pact to Boris, on condition that Boris dropped the new treaty agreement he has reached with Brussels. Boris has refused. Rudely. This inadequately motivated refusal will make many doubt how genuine is his desire to really win back the country’s independence, or whether his main aim is to keep the Tory party together, with its portion of Ken Clarke-type wildly pro-EU “grandees”.
  1. Yesterday – see the link – Nigel offered a compromise for an electoral pact which would ensure a majority Leave Parliament: the only two conditions he now requires are that a) the agreement with the EU should be changed so that the “transition period” is no longer extensible: it must have a definitive termination date at the end of next year, and if no Free Trade Agreement has been reached by then, the UK  will be free of all EU entanglements on “No Deal”, WTO terms, and b) that the FTA should not include any conditions of regulatory alignment by the UK with the EU. 
  1. During the ‘transition period’ as constituted at present, the UK is totally under EU rule with no voice, no vote and no veto. Brussels will actually be empowered to pillage and plunder us like a colony. Barnier has said that the current transition period will have to be extended, or there will not be enough time to arrange a trade deal. As presently constituted they can continue to kick the can down the road indefinitely.
  1. It is therefore unlikely that Brussels will want to accept a hard termination date. However after 12th December, this is what a new Johnson government should have to insist on. And, if Boris accepts Nigel’s pact, there will be Brexit Party MPs on the green benches to make sure that he does.
  1. If Boris refuses this very reasonable compromise offer, he will have to give reasons. The unlimited extensibility of the ‘transition period’ is clearly not in the UK’s interest, so why should Boris want to keep it? It would reveal a sly intention on his part to keep Britain in, and under, the EU, indefinitely.
  1. If Boris refuses this offer, then the Brexit Party will have to field all its 600+ candidates. At that point the electorate will be faced with a choice to vote –
    • for the LibDem-led Remain Alliance, to revoke article 50, deny the referendum result, and remain in the EU;  or
    • for  Corbyn’s Labour party, who want to negotiate a new agreement with Brussels and then hold a second referendum, campaigning to remain in the EU;  or
    • for Boris and his Treaty as is, with the prospect of remaining not just in the EU, but under its thumb, not to say iron heel, with no voice, nor vote nor veto, for an indefinitely extensible “transition period”.
  1. Or they could vote –
    • for the Brexit Party, offering a clean break and the reacquisition of Britain’s freedom and independence. 
  1. Recent opinion polls have been showing that the Tory vote will be larger than the Brexit Party vote. This is surely the effect of the deafening mainstream media campaign to present Boris’s ‘deal’ as a genuine Brexit.
  1. But as the population becomes aware of the real content of Boris’s ‘deal’, and learns that it is really the same as T May’s deal, with some lipstick added on (as Brussels is confirming now), and as they realise that Boris spurning this very generous compromise offer can only mean that he intends to leave Barnier with a free hand to keep us in subjugation to Brussels while they continue to kick the can down the road, how certain can Boris and his advisers be now that the voters will not repeat the choice they made in March this year, and give a majority to the Brexit Party? 

Far better and more statesmanlike on his part to put country before party, accept Nigel’s offer, and ensure that on 13th December we will have a solid Leave, pro-Brexit majority in Parliament. Which is what he says he wants.

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