All over the country voters will mark their ballot papers in exactly the same way as they have done ever since they were 18. Many of us who have ever been out campaigning will have knocked on a front door and when the voter opens it you say: “Hello. I’m campaigning on behalf of your local candidate, who is asking for your vote in the General Election.”
Most voters will tell you honestly whether or not they’re going to vote for your candidate or even if they’re going to vote for None of the Above, and many will answer the question: “Who are you going to vote for?” But if you get an answer to that one and ask the follow up: “Why that candidate?” on so many occasions you will be answered: “Err….”
If pushed, they will say: “I’ve always voted for them,” or “My parents did,” or some such reason but, again, if you ask what policies their preferred candidate advocates, they’ll be at a loss to name any. This is ‘tribal politics’ at its most obvious.
This election is different, and it has been made different by Brexit. The result in the majority of constituencies following next week’s General Election is obvious but there are some seats which could change hands, perhaps a formerly solid Conservative seat that voted heavily for Remain in the referendum or a patch held by the Lib Dems where the majority wanted to Leave the EU.
In the 316 constituencies that returned a Tory to Parliament, the majority of voters opted to Remain in the EU in almost 80 of them. These could be targeted by Labour or even the Lib Dems, especially the few which have the lowest percentages of Tory majority. Some of these constituencies, most of which are in either Scotland or London, voted more than 60 percent Remain.
Voters in some Labour constituencies which heavily backed Leave are now considering where to place their vote. If they have a Brexit Party or UKIP candidate their choice may be easy, but if they don’t? There will be some Labour voters who wouldn’t vote Tory in month of proverbial Sundays. Some Labour-held Remain seats could be taken by the SNP in Scotland or by the Lib Dems in other parts of the country.
However, all the seats that could change hands on Thursday are very much on the edges of pollsters’ predictions and could number fewer than 100. Of course, this is enough to change the look of Parliament, to put Jeremy Corbyn into No. 10 and to drastically alter the direction in which our country is going.
But in the vast majority of constituencies, the winner is eminently predictable and in those seats – probably more than 500 of them – your vote will not really count. Perhaps it’s time to record a protest vote and vote for None of the Above, which is not the same as spoiling your vote.
I hope that everyone is reading the literature that is coming through their doors or at least checking out the manifestos of the various parties, but even that is no guarantee of what the winning party will do because politician’s promises are totally worthless!
In 2004, the then Prime Minister Tony Blair told the House of Commons he would hold a referendum on the terms of an upcoming EU constitution and this promise was included in the Labour manifesto for the 2005 General Election.
The constitutional document was put to voters in the Netherlands and France, and was soundly rejected. So just in case British voters went the same way, Blair changed his mind and decided not to hold the referendum. As is always the way with the EU, the French and Dutch were forced to vote again until they agreed the treaty.
Blair did a bit of work on the document and after the GE brought it back as the Lisbon Treaty, and as it was a different document (!), he said there would be no need for a referendum and it became law, despite it handing power and control over British laws to the European Commission.
In 2008 a chap called Stuart Wheeler sued the office of the Prime Minister for not keeping to the promises he and his party made in their manifesto. Once again, as we have seen recently, the law courts were pitted against Parliament and in this instance, Parliament was ruled as being paramount. Because there is no statute enforcing manifesto commitments, during an election campaign politicians can claim whatever they want in the sure and certain knowledge that even if they form a majority government, they won’t have to carry out their promises. And who would bet that MPs would actually pass a law binding parties to their promises – they’re not that silly!
Certainly, if there is a hung Parliament there has to be negotiations between the parties and it may be that one or other has to give up on a promise, but if there is an overall winner in this election, even then that party cannot be forced to adhere to its manifesto promises.
So back to my initial question. If, like me, you live in a constituency which is a surefire win for any one of the major parties, who do you vote for? Of course, if your patch has a slim majority in favour of any of the parties, your vote might just matter. Several of today’s papers hold a list of those constituencies, perhaps only 40 or 50 of them, where your vote will matter.
But if all your candidates are Remainers or you’re unsure who to vote for, then try None of the Above. It is not something that happens here in the UK but perhaps it ought to be an option. And None of the Above is quite different from simply spoiling your ballot paper.
A ballot paper is spoiled if is unmarked – so write ‘NONE’ across
your paper; it is spoiled if you vote for more than one candidate – so put a single diagonal line through all the boxes; it is spoiled if you put your name on it – so don’t sign it.
If you write ‘NONE’ across your paper, your intention not to vote for any of them is clear. Your vote can’t be registered as ‘spoiled’ and it will be recorded as a protest vote, so that’s what I will do.
Who will join me?
As thread responses are becoming like an NOTA meeting (!).
Currently I have an ultra remainer conservative mp (maj ~8,000. He overturned the previous mp (a Summer student CV and ability – yes!) who had ~5,500 maj).
I have voted for a different remainer party.
Reasoning? Its better to exclude/remove the untouchable Quisling than to have a openly self declared Treasonist in opposition. Hence Quisling out on his ear and Treasonist in who cannot do so much damage to the country in opposition.
Put another way, with four remainers on the ballot, he is the least worst, but my vote will reduce Quisling’s majority. And for every cons voter who changes, it could be a swing of two votes against.
I thought about ‘none of the above’ but that would probably re-elect the Quisling, followed by ‘wonderful surrender treaty endorsed by the electorate’ and so on.
Thirty years ago we had a great cons mp. Two or three mps ago was an equally devoted super lib-dem mp. It chokes me to say but I voted for him – and no regrets. We have had six party changes in thirty years I can think of.
Generally for the constituency I’m in, the cons put in a head office plant. The plant wins, becomes comfortable and complacent. Then a strong opposition candidate is put up and supported (listening Nige?). The voters have had a lot better and remember those times. Change happens.
In one word – No.
In a few more words from Beaconsfield –
Voter power in Beaconsfield – 0.022
Constituency marginality – Ultra safe
In Beaconsfield, one person does not really have one vote, they have the equivalent of 0.022 votes.
Beaconsfield ranks No.633 out of 650 constituencies in the Voter Power Index.
38.90% of those who voted in Beaconsfield in 2010 did not vote for the winning candidate.
These votes count for nothing in the First Past the Post system.
Nothing,Which is why I will really, really enjoy spoiling my ballot paper on Thursday.
In West Suffolk we have an incumbent who was Remain, now swears he’s a conviction Leaver, but if it means even further promotion – – he’s already a Secretary of State – – he’s prepared to wash his head in a bucket. All of the candidates are keen on mega-renewables, none is a real Leaver and none of them has a manifesto that holds water.
I was all set to write NOTA!, which is unsatisfying, when I drove through the villages on the Cambridge border which are threatened by the largest solar desert in the UK. So it’s NO 2 SUNNICA and I’ve just delivered 50 leaflets in the villages urging others to do the same.
It’s not much. But it’s something.
JF
No BP or UKIP candidate here in Copeland & I cannot bring myself to vote for the Conservatives again unless & until they once again represent conservative values, rather than liberal ones.
FWIW I’ll still go to the polling station & use my ballot paper to register my dissatisfaction with the current parties & FPTP.
My vote does matter very much this time in this constituency. But thanks for reminding us Debbie how to do a protest vote.
Sadly my solid blue constituency was one of those that The Brexit Party withdrew its candidate. Our excellent UKIP PPC left UKIP when its leader embraced TR and thus I too will be following Debbie.
🙂
I will join you. In Totnes constituency we have not stood a UKIP candidate as that would have risked splitting the vote between UKIP and the CONS and letting serial Party hopper Sarah Wollaston, currently a Lib Dem, to win the seat. Now there is a 2 horse race between her Boll**cks to Brexit Party and the CONS who want us to swallow Boris’s appalling ‘deal’ that is nothing other than another treaty to bind us into the EU. We were lied to by a CONS Prime Minister in 1973 when we joined the EEC and we are being lied to by another one fudging our leaving the dystopian project in name only. As you suggest I will draw a line through the boxes and write ‘None’ in bold.
I’m with you Debbie, TBP is not standing here in my constituency neither is there a UKIP candidate, the useless Cameron protege is still bleating about the same local issues that have gone unnoticed or acted upon in the last three general elections . The other parties don’t have a chance here as the Conservative majority was over 35.000 last time slightly up on the time before. An electorate that votes to keep all the other parties out deserves what they get and my feeling is they are about to get ‘it’ big time. ‘None of the above’ as you say.