Boris is back at the helm
‘Tis the start of another Lockdown Week – but this time it will be different! After all, Johnson is back in No10 and will make decisions – about the Lockdown and about Brexit. There’ll be a ‘honeymoon’ where Our MSM will refrain from tearing him to pieces. That’ll last for three days at most.
However – the usual suspects have been hard at work, trying to ‘frame the narrative’, i.e. telling the MSM what they expect the PM to do, under the guise of “he should be doing this but we don’t know that he will, so we’ll put our suggestions out there now, never mind that these are based on our vested interests”. These helpful ‘advisers’ are nameless, faceless, with no job description – except for one: Professor Neil Ferguson. More on his latest ‘advice’ below.
Let’s first look at what they ‘expect’ Johnson to do. Here’s The ever helpful Times according to which Johnson:
“… must swiftly seize control of coronavirus planning to counter allegations of drift at the top of the government. He will chair the morning coronavirus war committee with senior officials each day. While he is not expected to speak at the 5pm televised press briefing today or tomorrow, he is likely to appear before the end of the week. An overflowing in-tray awaits him, alongside a cabinet split between those concerned about the impact of lockdown on business and the economy and those who fear that easing it would prompt a new surge of cases that could overwhelm the NHS.” (link, paywalled)
Oooh – a ‘split cabinet’! Translated this means: there’ll be blood on the cabinet carpet! The MSM vultures are gathering already. Here are ‘allies’ of the PM (no names …), also sneakily putting their oars in as to what the PM might or should do:
“Allies have hinted that he could decide to “modify” elements of the lockdown before the May 7 deadline as he is increasingly bullish about the possibility of altering restrictions if scientific advice allows for it. One ally of Mr Johnson said: “May 7 is the day when the Government is legally obliged to review the lockdown measures but if Boris wants to change the restrictions earlier than that, or at least announce something before that, then he could go sooner.” (link)
There you have the first date: May 7th. ‘Tis the Thursday before the May Bank Holiday which is on Friday May 8th – I’m sure the reason for the change from the usual Monday to this Friday doesn’t need to be explained to our readers!
Note that this might mean ‘back to work’ on Monday 11th May. Of course, by now the pundits in ‘Our MSM’ have forgotten that the wannabe Napoleon across the Channel has decreed long since that La France will start going back to work on May 11th …
Meanwhile, the inanity of ‘protecting lives’ and ‘protecting our NHS’ flourishes unabated. There’s one astounding item of utter idiocy, illustrating two things: a) that ‘Big Business’ and ‘Big Trade Union’ are happily working together while b) regarding the paying public as a horde of rapacious beasts bent on stampeding through the shops as soon as they’re let off their chains:
“Shoppers may have to buy clothes without trying them on when stores reopen under strict social-distancing guidelines issued to retailers. […] Retail chiefs have also been told that they may need to employ security guards to manage entrances and to ensure that queueing customers keep at least two metres apart. The guidance, drawn up by the British Retail Consortium (BRC) and the shop workers’ union Usdaw, is designed to help shop managers to prepare for the expected reopening “of a greater breadth of stores”.’”(link, paywalled)
That’ll help the High Street survive the Lockdown! Will clothes not become ‘infected’ when they’re returned after trying them on at home? Perhaps the buying of clothes should be prohibited altogether! This ‘advice’ is based on ‘government guidance’ – so there’s the handy scapegoat when things go down the drain: ‘not our fault, Guv’.
And so to Professor Neil Ferguson and his latest advice on the Lockdown and the lifting of same. Yes, as expected: he tells us that ‘people will die’ – up to 100,000 of them this time. Yes, that’s according to his latest model. The first one, you remember, was that 500,000 of us would die if measures weren’t taken – leading to this Lockdown we’re all suffering from. His explanation is astounding – savour the twisting-in-the-wind:
“Neil Ferguson […] said: “We are modelling exactly those scenarios and in practical terms you would require a very high level of effective shielding for that [lifting of Lockdown restrictions] to be a viable strategy. The most vulnerable people are also the people who most need care and have most interaction with the health system and are least able to really be truly isolated. I’m very sceptical we can get to the level of shielding which would make that a viable strategy. In theory, it might be, but until I see a country or even a community do a better job than we’ve seen so far, then I remain sceptical that it’s achievable. And if you achieve just 80 per cent shielding, 80 per cent reduction in infection risk in those groups, we’d still project you get well over 100,000 deaths later this year through that sort of strategy.” (link, paywalled)
In other words – no matter what the PM decides now, ‘people will die’ and Ferguson is on record that he’s said so all along, before the Lockdown is even partially lifted. I’m puzzled as to which group needs to achieve that 80% ‘reduction in risk’: the vulnerable or the healthy? And why 80% anyway?
Also in other words: it’s ‘impossible’ because those ‘most vulnerable’ require the most contact with health workers and cannot be truly isolated anyway – that’s why the rest must stay indoors! Have these ‘most vulnerable’ (ooh – you can hear the swish-swish of virtue-signalling shroud waving here!) not been looked after during these past five Lockdown weeks?
And who are these ‘most vulnerable’ precisely? All the over-70s, fit or not? Does the Professor include the young who are seriously ill with diabetes and high blood pressure due to obesity, or the poor BAME – an expression which is now deemed to be racist in itself – who die disproportionally from this racist virus?
Ferguson’s advice is to do as South Korea did, namely do the ‘tick-tack-tock’ which the WHO is now promulgating, i.e. ‘test-track-trace’. The usual suspects are already on the case anyway:
“Meanwhile, Tory donors, Cabinet ministers, and Sir Keir Starmer have all urged Boris Johnson to publish his strategy for loosening restrictions – with the shielding approach among the options suggested – as the Prime Minister prepares to return to work.” (link)
It’s: “tell us, Johnson, so we can criticise” – back to normal, back to the battle of ‘Our MSM’ against the elected PM. Nothing new there – with one difference: because ‘Our MSM’ have been fuelling panic and hysteria, because TV ‘pundits’ especially have been trying to score ‘gotcha’ points during the daily government PR performance, ever fewer peasants are trusting the MSM and are switching off the BBC and the rest while cancelling their subscriptions to the broadsheets.
And so to Brexit! Oh yes, Remain hasn’t stopped and won’t stop! Firstly, to give you the proper background to the ongoing negotiations, read the Sunday editorial by our friend at facst4eu. I love the headline:
“Barnier is rattled as Britain’s Brexit Bulldog ramps up the pressure – Boris’s Brexit Iceman blasts cold air all over Barnier’s faux-Brexit Brûlée” (link)
In contrast, RemainCentral’s Brussels correspondent has penned an article headlined: “Johnson will take charge of Brexit Talks”. He mentions ‘a source’ once, but it’s left unclear if that source is a cabinet or ‘senior ministers’ or even a ‘EU diplomat’. Here’s a quote:
“The prime minister will be advised by David Frost, his chief negotiator, that after deadlocked talks last week it is time to inject fresh “political impetus” into the process before June. Details of the new strategy have not yet been worked out in Downing Street but they are expected to focus on finding new ways to “inject energy” and to “short circuit” rigid formal negotiations that are running out of time.” (link, paywalled)
So Remain doesn’t know the details but knows what David Frost will advise …? Interesting …! It is however ‘known’ that the PM will talk to Ms vdLeyen and what he’ll say – or rather it’s what ‘sources’ hope he’ll say: ask for an extension because of CV-19. That’s the assumption, that’s how they’re trying to ‘frame the narrative’, their aim being revealed in this last quote:
“If the negotiations have not produced any breakthroughs by June, then both Britain and the EU will be headed for a trade cliff edge at the end of the year. Germany, which takes over the presidency of the EU in July, will press hard for the transition period to be extended to keep Britain in the single market and customs union until as late as 2023.” (link, paywalled)
Look – “Teh Cliff” is back! I don’t need to remind you that we’ll not only have to pay hefty sums of Danegeld which will be raised because the EU is running out of money – we’ll also be made liable to shoulder the burden of keeping the mediterranead countries afloat, after the economic devastation of CV-10. That’s Macron’s dream – and Germany needs allies against him – allies with money!
The various ‘narratives’ have been ‘framed’ by vested interests, hoping to influence Johnson even before he’s met his cabinet. Thus this coming week will be extremely important. At the weekend we’ll know if Johnson will end up as worse PM than Ms May or if he can sustain that image of Churchillian hero which won him the GE last year. We’ll see ….
KBO!
Photo by UK Prime Minister 
I wrote an article about modelling, business modelling in this case but is applies just as much to any other type of mathematical modelling.
“Numbers, lies & politics”
https://independencedaily.co.uk/numbers-lies-politics/
Ferguson and many others are feeding us crap, crap that probably come from the same source as the global warming propaganda.
Johnson is back and covering his back. Do nothing then you can’t be blamed. I see in the Mail one Professor Hugh Pennington says government is hiding behind science to avoid potential blame. The ‘police’, as usual, have exceeded their powers for easy nickings and are now pleading for sympathy. We have not been informed properly. That’s true but they also failed to use that famous ‘common sense’ they tell us to employ. Always an excuse the plod. Meanwhile a poll in the Express about opening the pubs first before they disappear forever.
This is like people so cautious about going out that they starve to death. Further meanwhile we still don’t know how many deaths are actually due to the virus.
‘… telling the MSM what they expect the PM to do’. The newspapers will crow like mad if the government ‘obeys’ the suggestions they have made; if the PM doesn’t, the suggestions will be very quietly forgotten. That’s the way of it.
We have all had our fears about the Chinese Virus (CV). Many have felt that they had already been exposed to it, even last year! They have felt that, because they have exhibited the very same symptoms that are related to CV. Some have even known, or should I correctly say are highly suspect of, where they caught the CV.
The figures have been an absolute nonsense, we can all see that.
The initial handling of an unknown virus has been a disgrace, we have all seen that.
The testing has been one big bodge, another known.
The drama from our terrible media has put the fear of God into everyone, an expected performance.
Many articles could easily be written just on this one video. I found it very credible. It answered a number of questions in my mind. It was professional and rational. My attention span does not normally run this long but watched the whole lot and was being convinced right to the last couple of minutes.
Copying this video to your hard drive, just in case, and pass it on. Everyone in the country should see it.
Thanks for the posting Kim, it is a commentary straight from the Horses mouth of a couple of 20 odd years qualified Biologists, who point out they see `hundreds` of autopsies and believe few are dying from Covid 19 alone, death certifying doctors in their area are being urged to say patients have died because of Covid and not because of an underlying heart condition they may have had for the previous 25 years.
I believe they also answered a question of where this came from and said the hospitals, presumably the question of who may have been instructing the hospitals was “political not medical”
I was also very interested in their comments on basic immunity which as microbiologists they pointed out that “normal” community living was absolutely necessary and we must all ingest our full ration of all the viruses and diseases present in and above the earth, it would appear that in isolation and a supposedly cleaner atmosphere our immune system`s ability to regenerate with actually deteriorate.
The upshot was their figures pointed to “normal” death rates, probably eventually on the lines of normal flu and that lockdown should end in a measured way at once.
My only criticism is I couldn`t hear it on my laptop or ipad very clearly and my partner commented similarly.
Sound a bit low. There is another copy with millions of views. Maybe louder? The content wraps up the whole thing. Frightening bit. Immune system deteriorates if you hide so a big outbreak of all sorts later – which it will be claimed validates the lockdown.
Despite Ferguson’s best efforts luckily I caught it so will get a chance to build up a bit of immunity and be able to strut around like a god whilst all and sundry are falling like skittles in the second wave ™. Well let’s hope not.
I’m at the end of symptomatic Day 3 and only have a fever (one hour my teeth are chattering, the next I am sweating though my clothes in a delirium)/achey joints/loss of appetite/headache and wooziness. No sore throat or cough (yet) so hopefully no breathing problems. Doc just advised paracetamol and bed rest.
Hi MWT,
Just noticed your posting, please let me say I am sorry to hear of your condition.
Particularly as you are a faithful one of us, our band on Independence Daily.
I hope it continues on a mild course as you say it is on now, and that you will be able to keep us up to date with your progress.
And of course pen any odd ” explosion” which you feel unable to contain under the `betrayal` heading.
Best of Luck, Roger Turner.
Thanks a lot Roger, appreciated.
So Ferguson has gone from 2m to 510000 to 20000 to 5000 to 100000. Perhaps he could turn it into a church fête game akin to “Guess the number of jellybeans in the jar.”. As the PCR test is almost useless for diagnostics with its 80% false positive rate and not able to detect viral load or whether the virus is still active we can certainly say the case fatality rate is way less than stated in the Scary Counter of Doom in every paper. And as 80% are asymptomatic that brings the Infection Fatality Rate in the realms of a bad flu year. Those bad flu years utterly ignored by the MSM and the likes of Ferguson.
Two million to five thousand is quite an exaggeration range.
GW sea level range I can’t quite Quote off hand, but I seem to remember there was also a similar exaggeration difference.
It’s obvious to me that most if not all estimates contain some legitimate error of input and many have a strong figment of the imagination input.
But remember the issue of an estimate of any sort is always designed to influence somebody’s decision making process.
BEWARE of estimates they are all wrong, well 99 per cent, it’s only a matter of degree..
I will not digress on the wonderful world of interpretation and engrossment of estimates by their recipients.