During the next days, weeks and months we will endeavour to enlarge on Brexit News and Brexit arguments in a Daily Column. This is the first one.
In all the uproar about Bercow’s unprecedented (this time the word is justified) behaviour yesterday, allowing the Grieve amendment to be tabled in spite of the advice given him by his officials, there is one little point overlooked by the Remain MPs and our commentariat which should make the blood of any Brexiteer boil:
“However, officials in Brussels pointed out that if the Brexit deal is agreed by Parliament, it cannot be overridden or amended by future Parliamentary votes, meaning Mrs May’s offer to MPs would have no legal basis.” (Source)
Let that sink in!
You can read Mr Grieve’s reasoning on the why and therefor of his amendment here while Quentin Letts doesn’t mince words in his column in the DM – worth checking out!
Here and here are good explanations why this Grieve amendment and the Speaker’s behaviour are such grave threats to Parliament and Government in general.
Meanwhile, Labour calls for a GE to avoid a ‘No Deal’ Brexit which means that Ms May’s government would be forced to crawl to Brussels to ask for an extension to Article 50 – which thus means, as we all know, that we’d be tied even longer to the EU juggernaut. And the reason for that, according to Labour’s Keith Starmer, is that ‘we can’t do it’ in the time available. They had only over two years to do it in!
Even Ms May’s minions now realise that her WA ‘deal’ will be defeated in the vote next Tuesday:
“Miracles do happen but the Prime Minister will need a spectacular one to avoid a crushing defeat next Tuesday on the deal she has negotiated with the EU. It’s clear the intransigent Democratic Unionist Party (DUP), on whose support she relies, is not impressed by such titbits as she has been able to toss in its direction. Nor is there any evidence that hard-line Brexiteers are weakening in their opposition. They will surely vote in large numbers against her next week, as will a few Tory Remainers.” (Source)
So – if Ms May gets defeated it’s the fault of the DUP and ‘intransigent’ Brexiteers, Remainers are blameless … doesn’t it look more and more as if the whole exercise is now about keeping Ms May in and keeping us ‘IN’?
Here’s why there’s a push for a GE:
“More than a dozen Conservatives MPs have made clear they would back a no-confidence vote and force an election if Mrs May tried to leave without an agreement in place. But Brexiteers are advising Mrs May to ensure the UK leaves in March by using her discretion to decide the date of any national vote – setting it for April 4.”(Source)
The reason for setting this date (April 4th) is positively machiavellian:
“The extraordinary tactic would mean even if Parliament forces an election, it would be dissolved during March for the campaign. As there would be no sitting MPs on March 29 when the UK is due to leave the EU, they could not prevent the UK crashing out. In effect the scheme would mean Mrs May forcing no-deal Brexit, frustrating the resistance from cross-party Remainers. During the campaign the government would still be in place – and the civil service is allowed to continue implementing pre-existing policy. The move would spark a constitutional crisis, Cabinet resignations and leave MPs up in arms. But one Cabinet minister who supports the plan told MailOnline ignoring the will of Parliament would be justified to avoid ‘destroying the last bit of faith in politics’. The public are saying, “just f***ing get on with it”,’ they said.” (Source).
According to the comments the minister is right …
Meanwhile, the Remainer establishment is still screeching about ‘cliff edges’ and ‘crashing out’, so the inevitable Sir John Redwood reminds us again about trading on WTO Rules – to be read and distributed! (See also reports here and here and here.) Why is a No Deal so hated and feared by the Remain establishment? Loss of their EU ‘income’, perhaps?
So – is it time to get ourselves Yellow Vests? James Delingpole in his article on Breitbart says:
“I do wish that bunch of “yellow vest” protestors hadn’t chased after Anna Soubry the other day. Not because I don’t sympathise with their frustration but because I think they are being played.”
Do also watch PJW’s latest video, where he points out what the French Government is doing and planning to do. If Macron ,“Mr EU”, establishes such law then you can bet that this will become a directive for the whole EU and guess what: since we’re still “IN”, thanks to the Remainers,it will become law here as well.
One can’t help feeling that this is exactly why they want us to Remain.
Flyer: “sum total of the efforts of many years of LibLabCon rule, I sometimes think that people deserve what they get for voting for them”. About a decade ago, the formerly very popular journalist Peter Hitchens warned repeatedly and correctly that the Tory party were unprincipled and marxist , only fit for the dustbin of history. At that time chances were that they could never get into power again, and he urged voters to see that they didn’t. His theory was that the mainstream parties propped each other up like dead corpses and if one collapsed the others would follow, clearing the ground for something better. But the public didn’t listen and fell for the Tory lies over and over again, plus Hitchens got a lot of abuse for his views. I wonder if we would have escaped the mess we’re in if voters had taken his advice; at any rate I don’t think we would have been any worse off in the long run. I also believed and still do, that short cuts like a referendum in the hands of Tories won’t work. the only way was to get rid of them and vote in a truly brexit- committed party. The one thing the Tories are good at is conning people.
Very useful summary, Viv. Thanks.
The district council elections (over and above any hstily called GE) are in May. I do hope Ukip or Leave Means Leave etc. stand in every ward throughout the country. Leavers all need someone to put their cross by. (I am in politically restrictive employment which precludes standing.)
Should not the 321,000 plus petition to government be plugged as much as possible before Tuesday’s vote.
The unconstitutional action of Bercow should see him removed from his post today. It will be interesting to see if any action is taken against him.
Don’t bet on it Jack !
Jacob Rees-Mogg is something of a fan, judging from what he said on BBC Radio 4’s “Today” this morning. But he disagrees with Bercow’s interpretation of “forthwith” in this case. If any other Speaker had genuinely thought the precedent needed changing, (s)he would have chosen to introduce it on a relatively banal case.
FYI – just seen on the amazon home page a yellow vest as one of their ‘fashion bestsellers’ items …
Best buy one from the local construction tool / material suppiers than support Amazon.
Yes – but ’twas interesting nevertheless, a portent, perhaps?
Already ordered it – should arrive any day!
A quick hook up with USA could save us.( Simple of course but Howls of protest from lefty inclined )
My yellow vest should arrive any day now …
. . . along with a free Brexit shopping bag?
I wish!
This is going to get very messy isn’t it. It appears and I’ve seen this reported from a number of sources, that the Yellow Vests are planning to cause a bank run in France by the mass withdrawal of Euros from banks across the country, starting on Saturday. This looks like spreading across Europe and to the UK.
Here is a video that talks about this and I’ll write about it after I’ve seen what happens on Saturday. We Brits need to start sticking up for ourselves too.
“MACRON, ROTHSCHILD`S GOLDEN BOY HELPLESS AS YELLOW VESTS WITHDRAW EUROS TO CAUSE BANK RUN!”
https://youtu.be/7FXb2Ajs6iw
Good points. It certainly is going to get messy. I’ve heard that advertising spends from large clients (normally committed way in advance) are seriously down for Q1/2/3 2019. This is across a lot of sectors.
This, when looked at in conjunction with declining retail sales (figures are starting to come out) and the fact that personal debt is at eye-wateringly high levels ( c £81 BILLION of consumer credit ) indicates that money is going to be very tight.
House prices have suddenly gone into stagnancy and decline in some areas too.
I’m not an economist, however this all smells bad to me. Shades of 2008…
IF there are runs on banks, and I am in no doubt that the French have the temperament to do it, and if this spreads across Europe as Flyer predicts then, Brexit aside, this current government will be in an even worse situation than it is now.
If we have a repeat of Northern Rock, or even hints of it, and this is combined with Brexit chaos due to the incompetent T May government, then we could be facing something of a crisis. To put it mildly….
As I said though, I’m not an economist. It would be good to hear the views of those that are on this site
“Jaguar Land Rover to slash 5,000 jobs as it faces ‘perfect storm'”
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2019/01/10/jaguar-land-rover-slash-5000-jobs-faces-perfect-storm/
“Global Housing SLUMP From Canada To Australia To China! 2019 Set To FALL Even Further!”
https://youtu.be/Hdc1-svBqhk
“Everything Is Falling Apart in 2019! Another Bank COLLAPSE in Italy! Debt Fiasco Out of Control!”
https://youtu.be/B2bb61G_Mts
And I could go on and on, I use these videos for illustrative purposes. In the UK businesses are going bust, jobs are getting scarce as hundreds of thousands of people pour into the country every year and breed like rabbits, while the number of income tax payers is on the decline.
A couple of Italian banks have tipped over in the last couple of days and this is just the start of a banking crisis that will engulf Europe and we’ll be on the hook for too if our government has its way.
That we may be facing something of a crisis is putting it very mildly indeed, there will be blood on the streets (literally) and it will make 2008 look like a few ripples on a millpond.
The most frightening realisation as I watch our government go through its Machiavellian machinations is just how little they care for the people they were supposedly elected to represent, they’re still trying to cover all of the above with propaganda, not even giving us a chance to prepare. It certainly won’t be the fault of Brexit and don’t let anybody tell you that it is, we should be gone already if our government had any sense at all.
I completely agree Flyer. I think there are serious risks of civil unrest.
The French are (I haven’t researched this thoroughly so bear with me/ take with a pinch of salt for the mo) allegedly considering banning street protests and readying up to 100,000 CRS/Police/military in contingency plans for the weeks ahead.
The police here have lost control in the metropoles and their morale is very low.
One fifth of our Army is not fit to fight and is undermanned.
The borders and our sea-lanes are like a leaky bucket
Our hospitals are full to capacity ( in Birmingham there are no beds available at all )
As you were writing about Jaguar, Ford have just announced it will be ‘restructuring’ in the UK.
Also, just now, Corbyn has made a very convincing speech in Wakefield and has finally mentioned ‘ the second referendum ‘ if he can’t secure an election.
A witches brew of trouble.
One spark and it’ll go off.
As I’ve said before, we Brits take take a lot of pushing, but when we’ve been pushed too far – watch out world!
Yes, the sum total of the efforts of many years of LibLabCon rule, I sometimes think that people deserve what they get for voting for them. I wouldn’t wish what is about to happen on my fellow countrymen though, perhaps this will wake people up.
Perhaps I could sell bulletproof yellow vests? Let’s hope you don’t need them.
If we are indeed ready to ,”Go Off”,How many of us consider that in event of severe civil unrest , we must be prepared to act, ” Without mercy ; without compassion and without remorse ” , all revolution and war depends on it…..We will not win otherwise…
Jag Land Rover was just sloppy management.It happens with old companies.
1.7 Trillion was Household debt.
As I understand it, The government have also saddled us all with another 1.8 trillion of government debt that we will have to pay taxes to pay for in the future. And this is real money. Not to banks or governments but you.will also as taxpayers have to pay for shiney new toys like a ( probably not working ) Nuke Power stn.. It’s the ultimate ( to the many who built many of the earlier ones and are still alive to understand the depravity and pure unalloyed ignorance of our rulers ) insult.. The ridiculous and insulting and useless HS2.Vanity… While the public seethes.. Also all the Clever dirty little political thefts organised with PFI Etc etcetc…Are they still going on..
So Someone sometime somewhere is going to have to wwork for it in competition with little chinamen.
Do your betters have a clue. Mrs May will try to invent another industry. Defiblitators for dead canaries.
Sloppy management I’ve no doubt, but the end result is the same, five thousand people on the dole. The retail industry here and in the US is in dire trouble and it’s early days yet. Jobs are being lost, a few thousand here and a few thousand there and all the time the cost of living has been going through the roof.
I fail to see how millions of immigrants are going to enrich our way of life as jobs disappear, the NHS crashes and our taxes are used to support them.
Sounds like a recipe for an imminent disaster to me.
JLR also ignored its traditional customer base.
Some errors from me regarding consumer debt. I read the stats all wrong. Its far worse. Not £81 billion / 8.1 % up on 2017 / the total household debt now c £1.7 Trillion and average credit card debt north of £17,000 per person , average debt inc. mortgage about £60,000. Over 8 million are in serious debt.
Not an expert but does the average British household have money in the bank to withdraw to cause a run on the banks.
UK household debt (excluding mortgage debt) is about £13,000.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-38534238
The French over the top and dangerous again.. My suggestions have been swich kettle on and make a cup of tea at 6.30 pm every evening…. or Swtch an electric fire on at 7.00 pm or anything.Harmless but noticeable.
But it needs to be organised So an announcement ( Sadly lacking from Gerard ) would do.
Yellow vests ? But does anybody know ?
But why not ? Surely we are not just squatting on a pile of money. Or is it all about being a ‘political Party ‘
Good point… However, even a couple of hundred Euros multiplied by X hundred thousands makes a difference