Watching the Westminster swamp dwellers, claws at the ready …
Omigawd – willya look at that turmoil! The Bank of England had to ‘do something’ to avert ‘pensions collapse’ and spent £65bn buying up gilts This event is splashed across the front pages this morning, dead tree press (link) or online: no difference. We’re told that this is the fault of Truss and Kwarteng. Apparently the rest of the world has no financial problems whatsoever: no inflation, no energy crisis, no nothing. And then, would you believe it, the government will not U-Turn on that mini-budget (link), even though Labour, Tory backbenchers and all MSM ‘experts’ are telling them to!
I’m not a banker, a financial expert or economist, so I had to check out what this BoE intervention was all about. It appears to have been aimed at private sector ‘final salary’ schemes which:
“[…] pay workers a percentage of their salary on retirement. These pensions are regarded as the gold standard because they are guaranteed and do not depend on investment performance. They are also inflation-linked. Final salary schemes are becoming rarer in the private sector. Their more modern replacement, defined contribution schemes, work differently and so did not need action from the Bank. Almost all public sector final salary schemes also work differently. These are funded on a “pay-as-you-go” basis by the employer, backed if necessary by the taxpayer, so they were not in danger.” (paywalled link)
Right. So why did the BoE intervene? See this bland explanation in The Times:
“The Bank of England yesterday announced a £65 billion emergency intervention to avert an economic crisis in the aftermath of the government’s mini-budget. In a highly unusual move that economists warned could fuel inflation, the central bank pledged to buy billions of pounds of government debt to prevent people’s pensions being put at risk. It warned of a “material risk” to Britain’s financial stability after Kwasi Kwarteng’s tax-cutting measures on Friday.” (link, paywalled)
So it was to avert an economic crisis which, according to MSM ‘experts’, was caused by Kwarteng’s tax-cutting mini-budget! Odd, isn’t it: we’re being nudged into accepting that only those tax cuts created this current economic crisis, as if there wasn’t one before yon tax cuts.
There was no inflation, there were no exorbitant energy prices, no turmoil on Wall Street, no detrimental effects of sanctions – Merrie Olde England was a veritable little paradise, untouched by ‘events’ in the rest of the world. If you believe that … Next, see a rather hair-raising explanation reported in the DT (my emphasis):
“The Bank […] stepped in to buy long-term gilts, as plunging markets for UK debt sent borrowing costs spiralling and forced pension funds to dump their assets. Economists compared the crisis to the run of withdrawals that led to the collapse of Northern Rock in the financial crisis. However, the move by Governor Andrew Bailey helped restore some calm to markets, and pensions experts said retirement pots were not under threat.” (paywalled link)
Alex Brummer in the DM asks: “It’s 12 years since the end of the financial crisis… How can such risky trading be happening all over again?” (link). Wouldn’t we all like to know! Wouldn’t we like to know why all those ‘experts’ to whom we must look up were incapable of predicting this market reaction? Allister Heath in the DT remarks (my emphasis):
“It is easy to see why the Chancellor didn’t predict such a response. When it comes to fiscal impact, the overwhelming bulk of the policies announced had already been trailed, and the cost of the energy bailout looks a lot lower. Spending is being cut already because inflation is depressing public sector wages, and fiscal drag continues to do its dirty work.This was an ideological, visceral reaction to a Government financial institutions don’t properly understand. The elite mood music in 2022 is set by Left-wing American economists and a hysterical Twitterati that loathes Truss, Brexit and supply-side economics.” (paywalled link)
So all those financial managers, ahem: ‘experts’ already knew what was coming – but still were unprepared? Or were they indeed driven by international and national hordes of ‘expert twatters’ on Antisocial Media but not by ministers or mandarins? That might also explain the remark by that old warhorse Sir Kenneth Clarke: “I’ve never known a Budget cause a financial crisis like this” (paywalled link).
One might indeed wonder if certain vested interests have been ‘managing’, strictly en coulisse, to fabricate this turmoil. Let’s not forget the intervention by the IMF, led by a former EU and anti-Brexit bureaucratess. Let’s also not ask why there was no such turmoil when the ECB bought up all those EU ‘gilts’, for years. Shouldn’t Remainers in the MSM and the political parties point out that the BoE has finally learned from the mighty Madame Lagarde? Odd, innit!
There’s more turmoil looming ahead. Right on cue for the weekend, the DM reports that “Ministers to slash BILLIONS off Whitehall budgets to reassure markets finances ARE under control: Welfare faces cuts […]” (link).
To crown it all, the new dahlink of the meejah, Starmer, has called for Parliament to be recalled immediately. The HoC is in recess until the week after next because of the Tory AGM which starts on Sunday, so Starmer’s appeal is just attention-grabbing, as is his outcry that Truss was ‘a danger to the economy and had lost control’ (link, paywalled). I note with interest that Labour looks to be in bed with the banks because Starmer seems to prefer that his clients to pay more taxes in order to pacify ‘the markets’ which are controlled by Wall Street and bankers. Has Labour now turned blue?
I leave you with another puzzling question: why are certain Tory backbenchers criticising Truss now? Are they all Rishi fanbois? What would Sunak, what would they have done differently? we dunno – they don’t say. Will we hear them when yon Autumn Conference kicks off, without Rishi? Fun and games ahead!
Is that cat a Russian Blue Viv?
Anyway he probably has more understanding of ‘finance’ than me. He is probably also thinking – ‘what idiots they are to think Russia is destroying it’s own pipelines’.
Me? I think Truss and Kwarten hve done right and will be proved right in time. Hopefully before the next G.E..
Could well be, although he’s a bit dark. The Russian Blue who owned my Dad was more grey-ish blue. And yeah, cats aren’t stupid and won’t be taken in by softly spoken, flattering words. Mind you, nor would collies, not even when offered a bribe in the form of a titbit – which they’ll of course would take before walking off …
Well he is supposed to be on atwo week break
LawrenceFoxishanlinghis7/8pm spot on GBTV
I was talking last night about the destruction by the Americans of the non operating NordStream pipelines.
Like many of Pres Bygone’s befuddled ideas amd actions, it has unintended consequences. Why? Our conclusions.
With the hundreds of pipelines laying on the seabed all over the uS Gulf of Mexico . . . they are wide open for similar ‘treatment’.
As the the Eyetallions would say, you kicka my canum, I kicka yore (insert appropropriate parts of anatomy).
Alaskan pipeline may be nearer, but easier to police.
Regarding this ‘economic crisis’ and the tax cuts, see what Nigel F has to say in his lates video.
Interesting! I’ve always thought of Nigel F as more of an economist than a politician and what he has to say makes sense. The only problem is getting the government to follow his advice. Cutting taxes is a good start but we need more in terms of becoming energy independent as a nation. It may be painful and it will definitely be anti ‘net-zero’ but these things have to be done if Britain is to become great again.
Common sense; bear in mind that NF used to be a trader before moving to politics.
Agree with Farage on the beneficial economic effects of tax cuts (apart from those that specifically favour those already prospering) and his identification of the real villain of the day – Net Zero. But Farage should know better than anyone, that establishment politics ensures that nothing will be done about net zero mania, just as the EU bandwagon trundled on under Labour and Tory alike until UKIPs ascendency threatened Tory marginals.
In 18 months time should we expect Farage to urge voters to support challenger centre Right parties who stand on scrapping net zero or will he recommend people hold their noses and vote Tory because Labour would be worse?
Viv, anyone, what are the dizzy-making buildings in the background?
Looks nice’n’warm with all the palm trees.
HarryFA mansion in Stone perhaps?
It could be Livadia/Crimea … some tsarist stuff with Stalin’s preferred building style in the background … But of course I could be totally wrong! However, I’m pretty certain it ain’t Monte Carlo or Nice …
There were three tax cuts announced which don’t take effect until next March, not with immediate effect as suggested by the MSM who as we know are mostly anti Truss , anti Kwarteng anti Brexit and increasingly anti British, pro Starmer and Pro E.U.
Why don’t they report that the ‘cuts’ which total around £9 Billion against government expenditure of now getting on for £2 Trillion . When I wonder will they report on the economic shambles created by the Biden administration and the E.U and will they ‘for balance’ report on the economic difficulties in Italy which it seems are about to come to a head.
The Bank of England can buy as many bonds as it likes – and it will – but it isn’t going to work; kicking the can slightly further down the road is all it will achieve but we’ve just about run out of road. This is a global thing, the US, China and just about everyone else is going down, they need to raise interest rates dramatically to prop up the bond markets but that will crash what is left of their economies, it’s a no win situation. Our beloved Blighty is bust, just about finished and yet all that our wonderful politicians can do is smile and tell us about how they’re going to sort it: BS I say.
The world’s food and energy supplys are being stifled by green, net zero crappery and a bit of skullduggery, I’m sure that is what the Nordstream explosions were all about. Germany is guaranteed to crash now and so as a result will most of Europe. Unfortunately Britain is still to closely tied to escape and has problems of its own anyway. Our economies are are being destroyed as the very resources that we need to survive are being withdrawn and it’s all been so carefully choreographed: genocide in other words.
This current disaster is not something that will blow over until after many millions or billions of people are dead worldwide and I haven’t even mentioned the catastrophic war that is starting in Ukraine and will spread exponentially. China I think will invade Taiwan late next year and then the US will get involved and things will really kick off.
Next time that you listen to a politician telling you how wonderful they are, how much they care and are going to fix things for you, remember this: they want you dead and they have been complicit in arranging your demise for decades.
Surely the “green, net zero crappery” is performing just as intended? People need to waken up, read the various UN Agendas, and ask themselves who is going to contribute to the population reduction.
The real fun ahead will come if Putin targets other undersea pipelines. (The Norway/Poland gas link is nearby plus lots in the North Sea).
Not to mention other undersea services (eg internet and electricity). And then there’s offshore wind turbines.
Living on an island, there’s plenty of opportunities for him to go at.
Why would Putin target the pipelines when he could easily have a few valves closed?
JT- following the excellent advice of TGS, remember what Grandma told you – don’t mock the afflicted.
Not all pipelines start/end in Russia.
Have you actual proof it was Putin HA? Nope thought not.
I see you have been communing again. How are the fairies doing in your part of the woods this morning?
Blimey! See this comment post by user ‘javelin’on John Redwood’s diary entry this morning:
“The fragility of the bond market is ENTIRELY due to 10 million final salary pension schemes using Gilts and AAA equities as collateral to buy higher risk equities. About 75% of these pension schemes belong to civil servants. When interest rates rise the pension funds must liquidate assets to meet collateral requirements.
Civil service final salary pensions now threaten our entire Government finances. These high risk pensions must be stopped immediately or the Hedge Funds will smell large profits and repeatedly press the pension funds resulting in huge Government liabilities to pay these pensions. When I say stopped I mean cashed out. When I say cashed out I mean civil servants need to be retired immediately.” (link)
Do the fab MSM not have experts, with actual expertise like ‘javelin’ who should have explained this situation? If not – why not?
What a great idea getting rid of Civil Serpents who probably number far too many for the job.
There are500,000 or halfa million if you pefer. . I suggest starting tomorrow a Civil service Apprenticeship .
First 3 months working in Sewage plant or water Authority, Six monthes in the Army,Navy etc. ! year as a policeman on the beat,3 months in a lawyers office, One year working in a dress shop, one year Mending potholes.
WEll you get the picture. “several birds, one stone.
t g s Good idea that. Well, I take it you mean the apprenticeship to follow Jack Thomas’s dismissal.