Sir,

There can be no doubt that the present CV-19 crisis is the worst that our country has faced for a very long time; indeed, most of us are unlikely to have experienced such a severe crisis before. What is not yet evident is the number of businesses that will become insolvent and increase unemployment or, in the case of critical industries, require support by the taxpayers. The number of deaths which have been assigned to the virus is also suspect, particularly amongst the elderly or infirm who already had some life limiting condition.

The lockdown is something that we have not experienced before but most have meekly accepted it as a necessary way to prevent the spread of infection. The effectiveness of it remains to be seen when/if reasonable comparisons with alternatives become available. However, one aspect of it is never mentioned but worrying.

That aspect is the experiencing by government of an unprecedented level of control over the population at large. That does not bode well for our future freedoms and, for that reason, we must rebel against the lockdown if it is unreasonably continued. As in any potential conflict with government the numbers are the key. If a few of us rebel then we might face retribution; if a large number do so then the problem shifts to the government.

Respectfully, Jack Thomas

 

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Sir,

The MSM fixation with NHS deaths data made me wonder what my chances of survival would be if I had to be cared for in hospital for COVID-19. I have searched for this survival rate data and I may well have missed something but I could not find it. For a long time I have used www.worldometers.info/coronavirus daily which until recently provided me with detailed data which may well have some incorrect figures but at least showed trends. I know that alone does not tell me if I there is or isn’t a problem but I consider the trend could be meaningful (hopefully in the right direction!). 

 My records of the worldometers website show that way back on April 5 the UK was ranked 8th in the world out of 208 countries plus 2 cruise ships for the highest number of positive cases. At that time the UK had 47,806 positive cases, 4934 deaths, 135 recoveries and 1559 critical cases making 42,737 active cases. Throughout the ensuing 23 days the critical cases were reported to be 1559 every day, which in itself appears, to say the least, suspicious. 

By April 11 the UK was promoted (if that is the correct connotation!) to 7th.  At which juncture the UK had 78,991 cases, 9875 deaths, 344 recoveries and the ever present 1559 critical cases making 68,772 active cases.  344 recoveries out of a death toll of 9875 deaths is dire especially when compared to other countries. On April 13 the UK was promoted to 6th and the abbreviation N/A appeared in the recovery data position where it has remained ever since.  The two most common meanings for N/A are Not Applicable and Not Available.  For certain this data is extremely Applicable and important.

April 27 leaves the UK at 6th but fast approaching Germany and France numbers which, when (if?) they are overtaken, will leave the UK at 4th.  Data for the UK for 27th are: cases 157,149; 21,092 deaths; 1559 critical (still!); Active 135,713 and Recovery N/A.  Working back from the number of Active cases one can compute the familiar figure of 344 recoveries.  However the number of Active cases could be computed by the data sheet rather than a GOVUK source.  The world looking on might well do this computation and be staggered by UK having only 344 recoveries out of 21,092 deaths meaning circa 60 deaths for a single survivor!

Surely 60 deaths for a single survivor cannot be true – this would be a terrifying statistic! I expect GOVUK would be advised by their scientists that other countries log their data differently and recovery figures are NOT COMPARABLE.  This would be surprising because none of the other 2019 countries share this problem. 

You have rightly termed us peasants, confined to Barracks as Lepers but this Leper wants to know the survival rate, surely the wonderful NHS are registering this data! Where can I find it?

Respectfully, Robin Hill

 

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Sir,

Referring to the “View from Brussels” article in the 4th May edition of E&T: To have all countries pulling in the right direction would surely be more sensible than having them pull in the same direction. Seeing President Trump wrestle with States over CV-19 Policy provides a good example of how one size does not necessarily fit all.

The diversity of conditions in European countries is likely to be higher than in the US – ranging from low population densities and numbers per household in Sweden to the U.K., with its much higher population density and over three per household on average. We saw the Eurozone’s €540bn centralised emergency plan unravel within days. It would have imposed more debt on countries which already have unsustainable Debt/GDP ratios. As with large companies, a one-size-fits-all approach is rarely as effective as empowering those near to the front line, allowing them to innovate and to be adaptable, according to what they see.

Respectfully, Roger Arthur

 

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