Open letter written by Michael Keal
To whom it may concern –
I’ve found substantial circumstantial evidence suggesting that, for a person of average body mass, taking approximately 50 micrograms of vitamin D3 daily will greatly reduce the risk of a deadly cytokine storm in those infected by the COVID-19 virus, thereby improving their chances of survival.
This idea is based on the known correlation between the skin tone of incoming covid-19 patients and their outcomes which, given the absence of any other plausible explanation, strongly suggests that Vitamin D3 deficiency plays a role in the infection. However, what this doesn’t reveal is the actual concentration of D3 in the blood that constitutes a deficiency. This needs to be determined through measurement.
I therefore propose that the concentration of vitamin D3 in the blood of incoming covid-19 patients be routinely measured together with their blood group and that this be related to their outcomes. This, I believe, would allow a threshold for deficiency to be accurately determined through statistical analysis. In my perusal of the literature it appears that this is currently a matter of opinion!
Such a study should then provide insight into the overall efficacy (or not) of Vitamin D3 as a protective agent against severe covid-19 infection.
If appropriate, public policy could then be changed to strongly advocate vitamin D3 supplementation in the knowledge that this could speed the re-opening the UK economy and possibly open the way to a herd immunity-based COVID-19 policy as opposed to an attempt to eliminate the virus completely prior to re-opening the economy.
Being a unitary body I believe the NHS is uniquely positioned to do this. Indeed, it could even put Britain into a world leadership position regarding COVID-19 and be of political value.
Also, in my view, being a state run enterprise the NHS could and should be instructed to do their due diligence by researching all aspects of the COVID-19 disease with a special focus on vitamin D3 deficiency while the epidemic is still ongoing. This needs to be addressed urgently as in my view if the sunny weather persists, the epidemic will, in spite of the lockdown, soon be over.
Finally, if, as seems probable, viral load is a significant factor in COVID-19 transmission and severity of infection for example in the case of an infected unmasked person sneezing in a crowded train close to another unmasked person, this should also be revealed in the data as a small but significant number of outliers who are severely infected in spite of adequate vitamin D3 levels. Should this be found to be the case it should be confirmed, if possible, by speaking to patients and perhaps, if necessary, refined by experiment so that public policy could be amended accordingly.
It may well be that it is important for everyone to wear masks (or not) on crowed public transport and in other situations where social distancing is not feasible and this should be rigorously determined and not merely assumed as establishing a means of safely using crowded public transport it likely to have significant economic impact.
Public education around viral load should be undertaken once this aspect of transmission is better understood.
Finally, there is another aspect of viral load that needs to be considered due to the reportedly large number of symptomless infected individuals.
Although this may be due to factors linked specifically to the individual, such as vitamin D3 sufficiency, blood group, fortuitous genetics, etc. as suggested earlier, it may also be linked to the manner in which they were infected. For example, it could be that a person can become minimally infected by shaking hands with an infectious person which resulted in them building immunity without developing symptoms. If this can be established it might obviate the need for an expensive and possibly dangerous vaccine.
We’ve been shaking hands for a very long time, perhaps for a very good reason.
Here is the link to one of the better pieces of ‘substantial circumstantial evidence’ I was referring to at the beginning of my letter, linking to an article in the British Medical Journal.
Yours faithfully,
Michael Keal
Coronavirus Pandemic Update 74: Vitamin D & COVID 19; Academic Censorship
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-zK8LgVx2G8
Coronavirus Pandemic Update 71: New Data on Adding Zinc to Hydroxychloroquine + Azithromycin
I have stopped watching the news on tv as it seemed that every other night there was someone crying and upset because of the loss of a loved one. The media have done a very good job of upping the fear levels instead objective reporting. I therefore assume you have written this letter because there is no such logical thinking and advice on preventative actions.
The question is, why not. I understand that they have been forcing oxygen into lungs because thet didn’t know what else to do and quite likely killing people.
I am sure that there are many many good doctors with the right attitude but I can say I have had the misfortune to meet some very arrogant ones too. Politicians and quangos to one side, to me this outbreak has shown how woefully ill equiped and ill prepared our medical profession is. Many doctors I hear are beside themselves with a lack of leadership or proactive thinking. Your suggestion should have been implemented right at the very beginning and all the answers should already be known.
There are many studies that I would have assumed would have been undertaken. Doing a wide set of blood tests on all patients so that patterns can be searched for, and also testing in various locations such interventions as mask wearing or school closures and comparing to other locations where these interventions are not enforced.
Also a purely data driven comparison of treatments in various countries and the very widely differing case fatality rates and infection fatality rates. Why do these exist
I do not understand why we seem to lack such studies.
Very good points Michael, but I doubt your advice will be taken due to you not being one of the Government Advisors. – They alone have the total knowledge relevant to CV-19, but I wish it could be shown to the likes of myself !
The absence of Pathology has been one of the main shortcomings with this virus, and I can only think that the Authorities were sure at the beginning of the outbreak, that we were headed towards a Black Death scenario from the 1300s !
D3 is not a cure, but it could be of significant help. – If a vaccine is developed, I will refuse it, as I remember as a kid being jabbed with an anti-toxin, which I had to sweat out. – I had a lot of road in my knee, following coming off my bike ! – Getting rid of it nearly killed me, so getting some new anti-toxin with no history to it, seems to be foolish for my own system !
Me too Mike if we are allowed to refuse it. Never before have I had any adverse reaction to the annual ‘flu jab’ but in view of all the present media driven panic, and agitation to rush out a vaccine probably next time I shall not have my flu jab, just in case.
I did have an anti shingles vaccination. I trusted the NHS. That is one of the herpes viruses. As a result I was plagued for years by constantly erupting cold sores. Far far worse than ever before. I was on aciclovir tablets for at least 2 years and my GP admitted that many others who’d had that jab had been afflicted the same as me. Obviously they had forgotten to ‘attenuate’ for that close relative!
Good advice; I already take D3 and a zinc supplement daily on a medical friends advice. As for vaccine, I will avoid it like the plague; we don’t know what will be secreted in it, especially given the intent of such as Gates and his other cronies seeking world government at any price to us.
Me too. I take D3 and zinc – separate supplements – and they aren’t expensive. Doubly agree with not consenting to vaccine.
Stabilitech, a small British biotech company, is developing a vaccine in a capsule which is said to work on the mucosa through the gut and could prove to be considerably better and safer than ones that big pharma which would be applied by injection. Of course, the latter would be keen to bury it as they wouldn’t make any money out of it – like vitamins.
The NHS or SAGE aren’t interested in doing real or good science unfortunately. They seem to prefer models to empiricism.
I would never wear a mask in normal usage (can understand frontline medical staff of course). I always cover my nose and mouth with a hanky before coughing or sneezing and have done since early childhood.
Correct. One could be forgiven for thinking that the NHS (& politicians) might be in league with big pharma, who don’t make any money from vitamins. Why else would governments be shovelling big money to big pharma for rapid development of vaccines when their track record on flu vaccines is so useless and on coronavirus vaccines is zilch? Oh, and to really test a vaccine for safety and efficacy would require proper double-blind randomised trials against an inactive placebo over a period of at least six months and preferably a few years . . . by which time it will likely all be over.