Be afraid – be very afraid. Brexit will be stopped. I describe below how it’ll be done.
Yesterday was the first overt step with Ms May’s HoC statement. It’s official: she betrays Brexit with the support of the Remain HoC. It’s also official: the Remainers in both Tory and Labour don’t care that they betray their voters by voting Remain, nor that this will destroy their Parties. And finally – it’s official: the Remainers in the HoC are as thick as two planks, peacocking about in their assumed glory and wisdom on telly while totally oblivious to the reality, to the consequences of their demands.
Let’s take it from the top. Here’s Ms May’s ‘Brexit schedule’ according to her speech in the HoC yesterday:
“a second “meaningful vote” on her Brexit deal will be held by March 12. If the deal is turned down, a vote on whether to block no deal will be held by March 13. If MPs vote to stop no deal, a vote on delaying Brexit will follow on March 14.” (paywalled link, my bold)
You will recall that the HoC has already rejected her WA ‘deal’ because of the Backstop which would keep us as EU vassal state forever. Expect a last-second, meaningless EU ‘concession’ just to get that WA through the HoC.
If that fails – and I think it very well might because the Remainers want to remain – then the next day the Remainers will vote to keep the No Deal or ‘take it off the table’. We don’t need no stinking crystal balls to know how that vote will go!
Come the next day, March 14th, the HoC will then surely vote to extend Article 50 – and that will be that, because Corbyn and his lot believe extending Article 50 means they can get their beloved 2nd referendum. Their reasoning – and it’s not without merit – is that the extension would not be for a few months but for much longer.
So far so clear (‘crystal’, if you must).
This is where it gets interesting. In the first place, as any fule kno (but apparently not the Remainers) – each and every EU member state must agree to that extension, their decision must be unanimous. This must happen before March 29th else we ‘crash out’, in the immortal words of the BBC. Secondly, if they do agree, there’s this little complication: any extension beyond June 30th means there must be elections to the new EU Parliament in May, no ifs or buts.
Nigel Farage, who knows a thing or two about how things work in the EU, has this to say (link, paywalled):
“The ludicrous suggestion that an extension could be for just two to three months misunderstands that there would be no-one to negotiate with during this period. Brussels closes down in April as the European elections campaign begins. After that, the elite European Commission will be replaced. If we extend once, we will extend again and again. […] Another possibility is that the government and parliament are stupid enough to request a very short extension of article 50 which is vetoed at the EU Summit on March 21. By then, time would have run out, there would be no other alternative.” (my bold)
Sounds good? Not really – wait for the sting below.
Since there is no way any ‘meaningful’ change could be negotiated during this short extension – why should Messrs Juncker and Barnier stop saying ‘non’? – and since everybody in the EU (except our thick Remain MPs and ministers) knows this, we must elect new MEPs:
“An extension beyond July 1, however, when a new European parliament will sit, would mean that Britain would have to hold elections on May 23. […] Some in the EU believe that Mrs May could be forced to ask for a longer extension if the deadlock persists. Sources have said that President Macron of France favours an extension of up to two years to allow Britain to rethink Brexit and possibly hold a second referendum.”
Keep in mind that M Macron favours a ‘long extension’ and why he does so. Next:
Under EU law member states must be represented and their MEPs properly elected in May for decisions to be legal. […] EU diplomats said leaders could ask Brussels for a legal fix to avoid elections in Britain until the outcome of Brexit was clearer. One option could be to extend the mandate of the present European Commission with its president, Jean-Claude Juncker, in a caretaker role until the end of the year or until Britain either leaves or abandons Brexit. British seats in the assembly could be filled for this period by MEPs nominated by Britain based on the composition of the House of Commons. Such a move has precedent in countries joining the EU and would require Britain to hold European elections if, before 2020, a second referendum overturned Brexit. (paywalled link, my bold)
Keep this in mind: ‘until Britain … abandons Brexit’ – it’s important, and I’ll come to that below.
In his commentary in the DT (paywalled) Mr Philip Johnston writes:
“[Ms May] says it will be a temporary extension to Article 50; but what would that achieve? […] Two months, six months, two years – it will make no difference because the fault-line is not over how we leave but whether we should leave at all.” (my bold)
And there you have the actual aim of all this Brexit drama of sound and fury: to stay in the EU, to scupper Brexit.
Can’t be done? Oh yes it can – by revoking Article 50, and don’t think the Remain Cabal in Whitehall and government don’t know this!
Remember the ruling by the ECJ in December 2018? This ruling allowed the revoking of Article 50:
“The court has now ruled that a withdrawing member state may revoke its intention to withdraw from the EU unilaterally. […] it means that the revocation decision is not subject to the unanimous consent of the European Council, the European institution representing the member states. […] The member state has to make it clear that it wishes to maintain its EU membership. […] a notification revoking Article 50 means not leaving the EU at all. In other words, it would stop Brexit. […] In Brexit terms, this means that the UK can revoke Article 50 unilaterally before its agreement enters into force or, if it does not enter in force, until March 29 2019. It can also revoke it after that date if the European Council agrees to extend the transition period of Article 50 beyond 29 March 2019. (link)
Now you know why Remainers in the UK are so keen on an extension. It’s not about ‘getting a deal’, it’s to revoke Article 50!
How Ms May might achieve this, regardless of the political fall-out, is described here. Thanks to the Brexit drama she and her Whitehall handlers as well as the Remain MSM have set in scene, we have taken our eyes off the ball, watching her but not the puppet masters.
I’m afraid, dear friends, that this is the only explanation for the staggering failure of the Whitehall Remainer negotiators we’ve watched incredulously over the last couple of years. It is the only explanation for booting out the Brexit ministers Davis and Raab. It is the only explanation for the dithering by the Attorney General on the Backstop.
We can only prevent this by increasing our efforts writing to MPs, constituency Party chairmen, local and national papers. Let them know that we know about the dirty game Government and Whitehall are playing.
Let them know that they are playing with fire, that they are evoking a storm which will see them all swept away.
Interesting, it starts to make sense now why Theresa May delayed invoking Article 50 until the time she did. I believed originally that it was possibly something to do with the end of the financial year for businesses, but if that’s correct about the EuroParl shutting down in April for election campaigning, that puts a new spin on things. Certainly this all feels like its being orchestrated.
Do you think the majority in parliment give a dam ? most are in line for some sort of reward. We need a General Election so as to restore democracy. Then when we get a decent government they can sort this out, bring back the rope and try these XXX’s for treason.Only 14 days needed to arrange a GE because we all know whaat its about, just get it done
Stuart, better to do something rather than nothing and just raging amongst ourselves.
Deluge the Establishment with excoriating letters – I do, every day. If you want to find out just how to do this, go to BrexitFacts4eu.org – a brilliant, fact finding, non-political organisation working their socks off to provide real facts to you about the corrupt EU and deliver Brexit. I want Gerard to join up with them as they would be a wonderful ally who WANT UKIP ON BOARD, unconditionally. They already have the support of some MPs and MEPs and 15 pro-leave organisations and would give UKIP and Gerard a much needed platform to get our message out to a wider audience – something we are not able to do at present because we are being blocked by an evil MSM and the Establishment.
PS Leave means Leave is NOT with them – so no conflict there.
The European commonality. A loose collection of European member states. With no legal, Fiscal, political, governmental,or other connection except being friends in Europe.
I’m afraid that I predicted this the morning after the Brexit result was announced. It is impossible to beat the Establishment, they are just laughing at us. I hate to say it, but the only way to beat them is to frighten them; Rulers are terrified of revolution, but unfortunately we do not have a good record of that in Britain.
Yes Colin, that is what many of us said on that morning, I certainly did within minutes of hearing the result.
However, I did expect then that it would be done by various obscure and if you like legalistic manoeuvers, but as we now openly see it is being done by outright lies, blatant denial of democracy and rejection of reason .
I never thought then that I would come to realise that I live in a non democratic totalitarian state for that is what is has become.
Billions of words have been written on this since it became apparent that it was a meaningful Brexit was not going to happen. The political class have already signed up to full military and military procurement unification. Totally ignored by the media.
So tell me how is this Brexit if we don’t have control of our own foreign policy. You may well ask, just look at the dismal response to Spain earlier this month or the cretinous comments of the so called Secretary of State for defence and his ‘swarms of drones.’
As for contact M.P’s fine if you want to waste your time, I’ve written to mine a so called conservative the reply was just P.R rubbish from conservative central office.
These people know what’s going on and they don’t care, most have never achieved or done anything in their entire lives except trough at the taxpayers expense, they live in a world of their own, listening only to people of their own kind.
Nothing will be done to stop this shambles by the masses who either don’t care or don’t have a clue what is going on . The political and media classes know this, just look at what makes headlines in the national and local media.
The country seems to be living for the most part in a credit fuelled reality show run by the mass media. It’s time to wake up and grow up.
We have been let down badly at various stages. 1) By Nigel Farage – when we had Brexit in our hands after winning the referendum, he quit and has faffed about ever since. 2) UKIP’s MEPs have, bar a couple, been utterly USELESS. At a recent UKIP AGM I asked a few people to name some of our MEPs, even I was shocked, they couldn’t name five. So after MILLIONS spent on their salaries, expenses, whizzing back and forth from Brussels feeling important, their own party members don’t even know who they are, never mind the general public. They’ve had no impact, made no impression, in YEARS of being at the EU on salaries they could never earn elsewhere and having free video facilities, they have produced sod all of any merit on any subject to push out to the public, they couldn’t produce a leaflet, they have been a waste of time and money and we saw that one coming. Suck people into the big EU tent and they love the money, forget why they are there. FAR BETTER to stick two fingers up to Brussels and campaign at home. 3) UKIP HQ/management have NEVER got to grips with simple, bold, clear messaging online, in videos, in newspapers, in organising protests, rallies, stunts, events. I’ve produced websites, poster trucks and newspapers to try to demonstrate what could be done but oh no, they know better…and produced sod all. And so Leave Means Leave, VoteLeave, Leave.EU etc etc all sprang up to fill the UKIP vacuum in output…but they’re no electoral threat, too scared to really lay into the real problem: the treacherous ‘Conservative’ party which is really a Brussels party and has been for years. NO ONE has had the guts to really speak up about mass UNVETTED immigration which will destroy Britain, even Nigel seems to have backed off that and 500,000 people a year are still pouring into Britain.
One small consolation if we now stay in the EU – we can spend the rest of our lives saying ‘told you so’ as the wheels come off this vile project big time. Let’s see the BBC spin their way out of that.
Right, off to Westminster now to stick one on our politicians!
You are absolutely right. Why has no Brexit voice informed the people of the various agreements made between the EU and the OIC over years,this includes Britain’s leaders, to Islamise Europe and Britain ? This is why we have our current state of Islamophillia in Europe and Britain by governments. Why haven’t the people been told about the planned power bloc of Eurabia? The truth is that it is a project that is well under way and those pushing it will not give it up.
I have been in Ukip for a year almost, and if pushed could maybe name 5 Ukip and ex-Ukip MEPs, mainly because the latter made so much noise about leaving, I wasn’t aware of much noise before.
I agree with what you say about Nigel, but if he and the Brexit party can be effective in getting us out, then excellent, but all I can hear is ‘the gravy train is still running people, lets get back on board’.
It really might just come to the EU crumbling in order to get some sanity into this country but the EU will no doubt cause serious damage before and as that happens. I am 70 plus (and I suppose PC style I should apologise for having an opinion) not in the greatest of health, but even so I am frustrated by relative inactivity. Nothing seems to happen here in Scotland but I am going to try to see what I can do however insignificant.
Good for you Russell in keeping up the fight.
The destruction of the EU is necessary otherwise some idiots will take us back in. I always considered the primary objective to be Brexit with that a close second. Now its destruction might have to become the primary objective.
Spot on Russell. The voice of reason. Leave means Leave are not perfect, but at least they are getting off their backsides and organising these parliamentary protests, unlike UKIP which should be at they very forefront, but nowhere to be seen. It needs one big kick up the backside to get it moving. Gerard Batten sent that request out to all members to join him and Mike Hookem outside parliament a few weeks back, so hundreds of Kippers turned as requested holding their banners and correx boards. No sign of Gerard Batten standing there, but we were approached by his secretary whop said that he would be attending for an interview with the BBC at 3 pm. Shortly after that, he was seen heading away from Abingdon Street towards Parliament. Not a word of encouragement or indeed any thanks for coming were uttered, an absolute disgrace seeing that there were a number of new members present who witnessed this as well. I hope Russell, that you will consider standing for the leadership in May. By heck we now need someone at the helm who is on the ball and who is prepared to roll up their sleeves and get their hands dirty…………
Janice Atkinson has been prolific and has fought long and hard and visibly. It is a shame she isn’t UKIP.
She WAS elected a UKIP MEP.
Janice Atkinson was, arguably unfairly, expelled from UKIP. She still sits with the UKIP Group and has shared platforms with Gerard Batten in support of Tommy Robinson.
She was done for bent expenses. She’s now being paid by Rebel Media . Tommy Robinson bollocks then…
A RACKET
I’m a great fan of Janice Atkinson – you should read her well-researched report ‘Migrant Crime Wave – The EU Cover-up Revealed’. Chilling stuff.
But if we do contest the European elections then it must be the long serving kippers who are selected as candidates. Those who have a proven record of Branch and party loyalty for a least ten years. All that matters is loyalty to UKIP and what they have done for their Branch/Region.
“proven record of Branch and party loyalty for a least ten years”
You would be excluding many good and committed people.
Well said Russell and well done for everything you do, especially your truck promos. To be fair, we have demonstrably been blocked, sidelined and denied a platform by a corrupt MSM and the Establishment, but we have, as you point out on occasions, lacked directives, strategy and momentum.
Gerard did, however, give a terrific speech at the Tommy Robinson Panodrama expose of the vile BBC in Salford, Manchester last Saturday 23 February, which was attended by around 8,000 fans and went viral. I was there with 13 other Kippers. It was brilliant and I understand it gained us a few hundred new members.
It seems that – as you say – our politicians no longer care about committing electoral suicide and I’m very certain that is because democracy is no longer part of their game plan. In reality democracy died a long time ago and we’re just starting to realise.
As I’ve said in earlier comments, the Tories are finished as is the opposition and there is no other party likely to fill this void in time, we’ve been had and are easy meat for an EU coup. The Eurocrats will fill the democratic void with a Eurocratic and anti-democratic dictatorship, probably with a strong Islamic influence as well.
I hate to say this but if we allow this to happen over the next days and weeks, out country, its traditions and native people are finished, the only thing I can think of to do is to take to the streets, to create the largest and greatest civil unrest our country has ever seen.
If we don’t do this, we’re finished.
Theresa May and many others, belong at the end of a rope and we need to make that very clear. Even if we don’t manage to hang the barst*rds we can send them running.
I dunno who the ‘we’ is flyer, all I see is keyboard warriors and older people moaning to each other. The sort of reaction the country saw in the 70’s in Northern Ireland, or the Miners Strike, or the Poll Tax riots, or even the Grosvenor Square demo in the late 60’s can you see that happening again because I can’t,
Somebody once said to me that you can talk all you want and organise a demo or anything you want and the masses will agree with you and promise to come, so long as there is nothing better to do and the weather is fine and there is nothing on T.V.
Begs the question of course, is the country worth saving and if so from what?
17.4 million people that voted to leave that’s who we is. I’m still very proud of those people, in spite of the massive propaganda for remain, these people saw through it, they weren’t as stupid as our politicians thought they were and had the courage of their convictions when it counted. These people are worth saving.
You are right. The majority don’t know,don’t want to know and don’t care. Life is good. Plenty of shopping, T.V,films, cheap food, credit ; even those on the dole have a relatively good life.the vast majority will do nothing and those who do act can be silenced. The welfare state and the general acceptance of Socialism has rotted the soul of a once strong and great people.