Brexit ‘news’ today are exceedingly thin on the ground – for three obvious reasons: the state visit of President Trump; the Peterborough by election and Brussels being ‘empty’ after the EPArl elections.
There are a few titbits which came in over the weekend but haven’t been taken up by the rest of the MSM. For example, not much was made of David Davis’ demand that the government publish all Brexit-related documents. Mr Davis MP was the first DExEU minister before he resigned after Chequers, and he supports his successor, Dominic Raab, in his bid for the May succession:
“He [David Davis], therefore, concluded it was “about time” the Government released to the public all the documents relating to the preparation that has been done for the eventuality of a no deal. He said: “Dominic doesn’t prefer a no deal Brexit, he wants a deal. But he recognises that he has to retain the option of no deal for both negotiating purposes and fallback purposes. And he and I and everybody else who served in DexEU and in the relevant department know that we can do a deal which does not involve a hard border. Indeed, it is our determination under all circumstances, deal or no deal, to prevent a hard border in Northern Ireland. That’s the fundamental premise you have to remember. It can be done, the work’s been done behind it. It’s about time the Government put that work out in the public domain so we can all see it.” (link)
This is a demand we can all support, especially when we see that Phil Hammond is again at it, demanding that the Tory May-Successors tell how they are going to escape the May doldrums. Good point, but then he rubs it in:
“An extension of time to try to renegotiate, when the EU have already said they have finished the negotiation and, indeed, have disbanded their negotiating team, strikes me as a not very auspicious policy.’ Mr Hammond said neither no deal nor no Brexit was an ‘acceptable outcome’. ‘No deal would be catastrophic for the country and the economy and no Brexit would be seen as a gross breach of faith with the public, with the electorate, and would undermine our political system.’ (source)
In other words, Mr Hammond is still pushing for May’s atrocious ‘deal’, using the same old, tired Project Fear arguments’. That’s why we should support David Davis’ demand, that the documents he refers to are being made public.
After all, we, the electorate, should learn if and how Mr Hammond is right to warn about economic catastrophes – or if Mr Davis, Mr Raab and others are correct when they say there’s no danger in leaving without a deal as the work relating to it has already been done.
While the MSM are in the throes of the Trump Visit and the protests around it, and while the MSM are just about giving us snippets of info on the Peterborough by election – The Express predicting a huge win for TBP – there’s been one political earthquake which may have unforeseen consequences on the EU and therefore Brexit.
The old, famous German Party the “SPD”, didn’t do well in the EUParl elections, so their leader, Ms Andrea Nahles, resigned on Sunday. As the SPD is part of Ms Merkel’s government coalition, there will be political consequences, but nobody dares to speculate at this time.
The Times (paywalled) reports:
“Andrea Nahles quit the beleaguered Social Democrats (SPD) after a dismal result in the European election last month and a poll that suggested only one in eight voters still supported her party. Her departure has substantially raised the likelihood of Mrs Merkel’s coalition collapsing this year.Insiders attribute the party’s poor performances to the decision last year to renew a grand coalition with Mrs Merkel’s Christian Democrats (CDU). One of the SPD’s regional divisions has publicly called on the party to break away from the government.” (link, paywalled)
The big winners in the EUParl elections in Germany were the Greens, who are also riding high in the polls in the various German Länder where elections for those Länder governments will take place this autumn. In the latest general poll, the German Greens got 25%, just one point less than the Merkel Party with 26% (paywalled link, in German)
If you have a trusty machine translator, read this biting comment by a top German journalist, who points out that, should the Merkel coalition go down the drain, the next German Chancellor could be the – female – Green Leader Ms Baerbock. We can well imagine how this would affect the Brussels horse trading about who gets which job.
So it’s no surprise that the Merkel Party leaders are somewhat panicky:
“The CDU leadership urged its allies yesterday not to make any rash choices. Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, who took over control of the party from Mrs Merkel in December, warned that the breakdown of the coalition could damage Germany’s standing. “There are good reasons to avoid frivolously bringing the government to an end,” she said. “Given the situation in Germany and Europe at this time we as the CDU feel we have a duty to keep things stable and dependable.” (link, paywalled)
What is it with female leaders, always insisting on keeping everything ‘stable’ … ? In any case, we can look forward to a summer of leadership campaigns. Here in the UK it’s the Tories – UKIP – the LibDems – perhaps, after the Peterborough by election even Labour? In Germany it’s the SPD, and who knows if the current Greek PM Mr Tsipras will go after their GE.
It’ll be an interesting summer, that’s certain. Meanwhile we can enjoy watching the wannabe PMs, the May-Successors, twist and turn, have articles written for them, appearing on telly until we’re bored to death.
The D-Day anniversary is on Thursday: it is a day which our EU friends ought to be reminded of, in no uncertain terms: it’s only because of our sacrifices and those of our allies, the USA, that they can so blithely play their games of a ‘New Europe’, led by the old German arrogance and the soft Vichy French opportunists. And the Remainers ought to tell us what is so admirable in that German-French EU that they are happy to sell us out to them.
[Dear readers – I am not at all well (too tedious to go into details) and as I’m trying to get better I shall not publish “Your Daily Brexit” tomorrow or on Thursday, in the hope to be back in full strength by the weekend.]