Will he be crowned today?

 

The burning question this morning is: will the Tory MPs ‘crown’ Sunak later today, after Johnson has conceded, or will Ms Mordaunt insist on more ballots and on dragging this out until Friday ‘because the party members must be asked’? Those party members who have been blamed for Truss and cannot be trusted? Unsurprisingly, this is the one item making the headlines today. In one form or another, they’re about Sunak going to become the next PM (link).

Yesterday we saw more Tory heavyweights coming out for Sunak, from lord Frost to Ms Badenoch and Ms Braverman, while more ‘friends of BJ’ kept counselling him not to do it. ‘Johnson allies’ however kept telling the MSM that BJ had the necessary number of MPs to support him. One point I found intriguing was that the ‘trackers’ in the papers never showed how many MP votes BJ really had collected.

Reading the following paragraphs in a report in The Times I had the impression that Johnson was, let’s be kind and say: somewhat ‘removed from reality’ in his analysis of the current situation:

“Boris Johnson was in bullish mood yesterday morning when he addressed his supporters on a Zoom call from his campaign headquarters in central Westminster at 8am. Wearing a suit and tie against a backdrop of Union Jacks he told those on the call that he was the only candidate who had a democratic mandate to lead the Conservative Party. “Let’s do this,” he told his backers as he urged them to get colleagues onside. Political turbulence had caused economic disruption, he said, something that could not be allowed to happen again. The time had come for unity. But a little over 12 hours later it was over. As Rishi Sunak built up an unassailable lead among MPs Johnson concluded that even if he did find 100 to back him and won the race among members he would inherit a parliamentary party so fractured and so largely opposed to his leadership that it would be almost impossible to govern.” (link, paywalled)

I don’t know if BJ really believed his own assessment. Reading his ‘Concession statement’ I think it’s not unfair to say that he is placing the blame for his downfall on the current crop of MPs rather than accepting that he has made rather disastrous mistakes. Moreover, he seems determined to stir up as much trouble from the backbenches, not just for the PM but for his MP colleagues and Party, as he can. Of course, nothing was his own fault.

That is my interpretation when I read BJ’s concession statement in the DT where, scrolling down, I found these paragraphs:

“I believe I am well placed to deliver a Conservative victory in 2024 – and tonight I can confirm that I have cleared the very high hurdle of 102 nominations, including a proposer and a seconder, and I could put my nomination in tomorrow. There is a very good chance that I would be successful in the election with Conservative Party members – and that I could indeed be back in Downing Street on Friday.

“But in the course of the last days I have sadly come to the conclusion that this would simply not be the right thing to do. You can’t govern effectively unless you have a united party in parliament.

“And though I have reached out to both Rishi and Penny – because I hoped that we could come together in the national interest – we have sadly not been able to work out a way of doing this.

“Therefore I am afraid the best thing is that I do not allow my nomination to go forward and commit my support to whoever succeeds.

“I believe I have much to offer but I am afraid that this is simply not the right time.”

Rt Hon Boris Johnson MP” (paywalled link)

Even as he maintains that he could have won if only …, even as he maintains that he’s the Tory’s best ‘vote winner’, hinting of a comeback for the GE …, even as he paints himself as supporter of ‘party unity’, it is obviously he himself who is deftly wielding his knife, undermining that ‘unity’ he mentions, when he writes, with a tear in his eyes, that he’d ‘reached out’ to Sunak and Mordaunt but they wouldn’t play with him, the baddies.

Not one word about his own situation regarding the Privileges Committee’s investigations and the inescapable turmoil this would have created for himself and the Party had he been PM. It’s customary to assure the ‘victorious’ colleague and rival of support in his difficult job – there’s not one word of that in this statement. We can therefore assume that the warbling about ‘Party unity’ are simply phrases meant ‘for the gullible public’ and for posterity when he writes his memoirs.

We don’t know if Sunak will give BJ a job in his cabinet, following the ‘advice’ by the former US President Lyndon B Johnson. He said that it’s better to keep a ‘bastard’ inside the tent to piss out rather than outside the tent to piss in. Apologies for the crude language – it was more shocking in the 1960s than today where SpAds are quoted using the four-letter word ‘shit’ with abandon according to the ‘sources’ the MSM love to quote.

I leave you with a horror scenario. Starmer has been howling about getting a GE. Allegedly, he will keep on doing so rather than demand a No Confidence Vote to get that GE. The Times has kindly prepared a list of the Labour shadow cabinet. (link, paywalled). We find that the ‘Climate Change Secretary’ would be Ed Miliband – the Miliband who gifted us with the ‘green surcharge’ on our energy bills. 

See – even if things are already utterly ghastly, they can always become worse! Meanwhile we’ll wait to see if Sunak will be crowned later today. Truly, a week in politics is a very long time indeed!